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La Liga
Referee: José González
Ath Madrid
S S U S U
1–0
Full-time
Betis
S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,2
This season — La Liga · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 38%
46%
29%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
31%
60%
Both score Ø 58%
46%
69%
Average goals
2,1
2,9
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%
9 Shots 21
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Madrid 3. · Betis 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 35 24 8 3 +43 80
2 Barcelona 36 24 7 5 +44 79
3 Ath Madrid 35 16 15 4 +21 63
4 Sevilla 35 17 12 6 +17 63
5 Villarreal 35 17 6 12 +12 57
6 Getafe 35 14 11 10 +9 53
7 Sociedad 35 15 6 14 +7 51
8 Granada 35 14 8 13 +3 50
9 Valencia 35 13 11 11 -6 50
10 Ath Bilbao 35 12 12 11 +8 48
11 Osasuna 36 12 12 12 -9 48
12 Levante 35 12 7 16 -7 43
13 Betis 35 10 11 14 -8 41
14 Valladolid 36 8 15 13 -11 39
15 Celta 36 7 15 14 -11 36
16 Eibar 35 9 9 17 -17 36
17 Alaves 35 9 8 18 -21 35
18 Mallorca 35 9 5 21 -22 32
19 Leganes 35 6 11 18 -24 29
20 Espanol 35 5 9 21 -28 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Madrid Betis
S. Savic 🟨
11′
K. Trippier 🔁
↦ S. Arias
42′
43′
🔁 A. Guardado
↦ Alfonso Pedraza
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 A. Barragan
Saul 🔁
↦ Vitolo
55′
M. Llorente 🔁
↦ Y. Carrasco
55′
A. Morata 🔁
↦ D. Costa
55′
M. Hermoso 🟥
57′
A. Correa 🔁
↦ Felipe
61′
70′
🔁 A. Barragan
↦ Emerson
70′
🔁 W. Carvalho
↦ Joaquin
1–0 D. Costa
Y. Carrasco
74′
80′
🟨 Z.
83′
🔁 Loren
↦ B. Iglesias
83′
🔁 A. Moreno
↦ C. Tello
93′
🟨 Emerson
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Ath Madrid

4-4-2
13 Jan Oblak G
23 Kieran Trippier D
15 Stefan Savić D
22 Mario Hermoso D
12 Renan Lodi D
10 Ángel Correa M
5 Thomas Partey M
8 Saúl Ñíguez M
6 Koke M
14 Marcos Llorente F
9 Álvaro Morata F
Bench (12)
1 Antonio Adán
18 Felipe
4 Santiago Arias
26 Álvaro García
35 Manuel Sánchez
21 Yannick Carrasco
16 Héctor Herrera
11 Thomas Lemar
32 Rodrigo Riquelme
20 Vitolo
19 Diego Costa
17 Ivan Šaponjić

Coach: D. Simeone

Betis

4-2-3-1
13 Dani Martín G
19 Antonio Barragán D
5 Marc Bartra D
12 Sidnei D
15 Álex Moreno D
21 Guido Rodríguez M
14 William Carvalho M
10 Sergio Canales M
8 Nabil Fekir M
18 Andrés Guardado M
16 Loren Moron F
Bench (12)
1 Joel Robles
4 Zouhair Feddal
32 Edgar Gonzalez
22 Emerson
23 Aïssa Mandi
24 Carles Aleñá
17 Joaquín
20 Diego Lainez
6 Alfonso Pedraza
9 Borja Iglesias
7 Juanmi
11 Cristian Tello

Coach: Rubí

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,49
U
4,18
B
7,41
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,99
U2,5 ✓
1,82
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

José González · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.