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Super League
Referee: S Schärer
Young Boys
S S S S U
1–1
Full-time
Basel
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Young Boys Basel
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,3
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,8
Scored
2,2
2,7
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,5
This season — Super League · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,3
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,8
Scored
2,2
2,7
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%
14 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
10 Corners 2
2 Offside 4
17 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Young Boys 3. · Basel 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sion 7 5 1 1 +4 16
2 Basel 6 5 0 1 +9 15
3 Young Boys 6 4 2 0 +8 14
4 St. Gallen 7 3 1 3 +0 10
5 Servette 7 2 3 2 +1 9
6 Luzern 6 1 2 3 -2 5
7 Thun 6 1 2 3 -4 5
8 Zurich 6 1 2 3 -9 5
9 Lugano 6 1 1 4 -1 4
10 Xamax 7 0 4 3 -6 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Young Boys Basel
5′
S. Widmer 0–1
K. Bua
Frederik Sørensen 🟨
24′
Roger Assalé 🟨
26′
Half-time 0–1
J. Nsamé 🔁
↦ R. Assalé
49′
1–1 J. Nsamé
S. Janko
59′
63′
🟨 Arthur
63′
🔁 Arthur Cabral
↦ K. Ademi
G. Gaudino 🔁
↦ G. Hoarau
75′
82′
🔁 S. Campo
↦ L. Zuffi
Fabian Lustenberger 🟨
85′
U. Garcia 🔁
↦ M. Ngamaleu
87′
89′
🔁 N. Okafor
↦ K. Bua
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Young Boys

4-4-2
26 D. von Ballmoos G
28 F. Lustenberger D
3 F. Sørensen D
23 S. Janko D
29 J. Lotomba D
13 M. Ngamaleu M
16 C. Fassnacht M
8 V. Sierro M
20 M. Aebischer M
99 G. Hoarau F
17 R. Assalé F
Bench (7)
18 J. Nsamé
11 G. Gaudino
21 U. Garcia
14 N. Bürgy
19 F. Mambimbi
1 M. Wölfli
5 C. Zesiger

Coach: G. Seoane

Basel

4-2-3-1
1 J. Omlin G
5 S. Widmer D
6 O. Alderete D
28 R. Petretta D
4 E. Cömert D
14 V. Stocker M
7 L. Zuffi M
20 F. Frei M
34 T. Xhaka M
33 K. Bua M
99 K. Ademi F
Bench (7)
98 Arthur Cabral
10 S. Campo
11 N. Okafor
36 E. Bergström
8 Z. Kuzmanović
15 B. Riveros
13 Đ. Nikolić

Coach: M. Koller

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Schärer · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.