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La Liga
Referee: Antonio Mateu
Valladolid
U U U S T
0–1
Full-time
Barcelona
S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valladolid Barcelona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,5
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,8
This season — La Liga · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 45%
23%
66%
Points per game
1,1
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
29%
63%
Both score Ø 49%
46%
51%
Average goals
1,9
3,3
Scored
0,8
2,3
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

35% Possession 65%
13 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 5
15 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valladolid 14. · Barcelona 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 35 24 8 3 +43 80
2 Barcelona 35 23 7 5 +43 76
3 Ath Madrid 35 16 15 4 +21 63
4 Sevilla 35 17 12 6 +17 63
5 Villarreal 35 17 6 12 +12 57
6 Getafe 35 14 11 10 +9 53
7 Sociedad 35 15 6 14 +7 51
8 Granada 35 14 8 13 +3 50
9 Valencia 35 13 11 11 -6 50
10 Ath Bilbao 35 12 12 11 +8 48
11 Osasuna 36 12 12 12 -9 48
12 Levante 35 12 7 16 -7 43
13 Betis 35 10 11 14 -8 41
14 Valladolid 35 8 15 12 -10 39
15 Celta 36 7 15 14 -11 36
16 Eibar 35 9 9 17 -17 36
17 Alaves 35 9 8 18 -21 35
18 Mallorca 35 9 5 21 -22 32
19 Leganes 35 6 11 18 -24 29
20 Espanol 35 5 9 21 -28 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valladolid Barcelona
15′
A. Vidal 0–1
L. Messi
R. Garcia 🔁
↦ Nacho
25′
40′
🟨 C. Lenglet
R. Alcaraz 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–1
R. Alcaraz 🔁
↦ E. Unal
46′
J. Fernandez 🔁
↦ P. Hervias
46′
46′
🔁 A. Griezmann
↦ L. Suarez
57′
🔁 C. Lenglet
↦ R. Araujo
57′
🔁 R. Puig
↦ I. Rakitic
S. Guardiola 🔁
↦ S. Ramirez
61′
Kike 🟨
65′
74′
🔁 S. Busquets
↦ F. Junior
78′
🟨 J. Alba
O. Plano 🔁
↦ W. Rubio
80′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Valladolid

4-3-1-2
1 Jordi Masip G
17 Javi Moyano D
4 Kiko Olivas D
5 Javi Sánchez D
6 Raúl García D
16 Fede San Emeterio M
24 Joaquin Fernandez M
14 Rubén Alcaraz M
28 Kike M
7 Sergi Guardiola F
10 Óscar Plano F
Bench (12)
13 José Antonio Caro
30 Diego Alende
22 Nacho Martinez
18 Antoñito
19 Toni Villa
11 Pablo Hervias
8 Matheus Fernandes
35 Víctor García
29 Miguel De La Fuente
23 Waldo Rubio Marin
20 Sandro Ramírez
9 Enes Ünal

Coach: Sergio

Barcelona

4-3-1-2
1 Marc-André ter Stegen G
2 Nélson Semedo D
3 Gerard Piqué D
15 Clément Lenglet D
18 Jordi Alba D
20 Sergi Roberto M
5 Sergio Busquets M
28 Riqui Puig M
22 Arturo Vidal M
17 Antoine Griezmann F
10 Lionel Messi F
Bench (7)
13 Neto
33 Ronald Araujo
24 Junior Firpo
36 Arnau Comas
4 Ivan Rakitić
9 Luis Suárez
19 Martin Braithwaite

Coach: Quique Setién

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
9,63
U
4,99
B ✓
1,34
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,73
U2,5 ✓
2,12
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Antonio Mateu · 160 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.