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Super League
Referee: L Fähndrich
St. Gallen
S S S U T
1–3
Full-time
Basel
U U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gallen Basel
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
This season — Super League · 5/3 matches
Win Ø 47%
60%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
20%
67%
Both score Ø 44%
20%
67%
Average goals
1,6
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
0,6
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

60% Possession 40%
21 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 0
1 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 5
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St. Gallen 2. · Basel 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 5 3 2 0 +3 11
2 St. Gallen 5 3 1 1 +2 10
3 Lugano 5 2 3 0 +2 9
4 Lausanne 4 2 2 0 +5 8
5 Basel 3 1 1 1 +0 4
6 Servette 4 1 1 2 -1 4
7 Zurich 4 1 1 2 -2 4
8 Sion 4 0 3 1 -1 3
9 Luzern 5 0 2 3 -3 2
10 Vaduz 5 0 2 3 -5 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St. Gallen Basel
6′
Arthur Cabral 0–1
1–1 K. Duah
L. Görtler
13′
19′
🟨 Arthur Cabral
Jordi Quintillà 🟨
35′
39′
F. Frei 1–2
E. Zhegrova
Half-time 1–2
46′
🔁 J. von Moos
↦ Afimico Pululu
Basil Stillhart 🟨
63′
65′
🔁 T. Tushi
↦ E. Zhegrova
F. Kamberi 🔁
↦ B. Babic
69′
J. Guillemenot 🔁
↦ K. Duah
69′
B. Traorè 🔁
↦ Víctor Ruiz
70′
70′
P. Kasami 1–3
J. von Moos
71′
ℹ️ Pajtim Kasami
VAR: Penalty confirmed
82′
🔁 R. Petretta
↦ Jorge
82′
🔁 R. van Wolfswinkel
↦ Arthur Cabral
82′
🔁 S. Campo
↦ O. Bunjaku
T. Staubli 🔁
↦ B. Stillhart
86′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

St. Gallen

4-3-1-2
1 L. Ati-Zigi G
21 M. Muheim D
4 L. Stergiou D
8 Jordi Quintillà M
6 B. Stillhart M
24 K. Duah F
29 A. Kräuchi D
23 B. Fazliji D
16 L. Görtler M
34 B. Babic F
10 Víctor Ruiz M
Bench (7)
7 F. Kamberi
9 J. Guillemenot
25 B. Traorè
26 T. Staubli
18 L. Watkowiak
98 Y. Letard
99 V. Rüfli

Coach: P. Zeidler

Basel

4-2-3-1
1 Đ. Nikolić G
5 S. Widmer D
96 Jorge D
4 E. Cömert D
21 J. van der Werff D
20 F. Frei M
23 P. Kasami M
30 E. Zhegrova M
22 O. Bunjaku M
98 Arthur Cabral F
11 Afimico Pululu M
Bench (7)
18 J. von Moos
24 T. Tushi
28 R. Petretta
9 R. van Wolfswinkel
10 S. Campo
46 F. Gebhardt
76 A. Hajdari

Coach: C. Sforza

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Fähndrich · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.