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Super League

Referee: A Bieri

Basel

S S S S U

4–0

Full-time

Zurich

T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Zurich

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,8

Scored

2,2

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,5

This season — Super League · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 50%

71%

29%

Points per game

2,3

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 79%

86%

71%

Both score Ø 65%

86%

43%

Average goals

3,6

3,0

Scored

2,4

1,0

Conceded

1,1

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

64% Possession 36%

18 Shots 9

8 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

2 Corners 1

4 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Basel 1. · Zurich 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Basel	7	5	1	1	+9	16
2	Sion	7	5	1	1	+4	16
3	Young Boys	7	4	3	0	+8	15
4	St. Gallen	7	3	1	3	+0	10
5	Servette	7	2	3	2	+1	9
6	Zurich	7	2	2	3	-7	8
7	Luzern	7	1	3	3	-2	6
8	Lugano	7	1	2	4	-1	5
9	Thun	7	1	2	4	-6	5
10	Xamax	7	0	4	3	-6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	4	2	2	0	+6	8
2	Zurich	4	2	1	1	-1	7
3	Basel	3	2	0	1	+2	6
4	St. Gallen	4	2	0	2	+0	6
5	Sion	3	2	0	1	+0	6
6	Servette	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Lugano	3	0	2	1	-1	2
8	Luzern	3	0	2	1	-2	2
9	Thun	4	0	1	3	-6	1
10	Xamax	4	0	1	3	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Basel	4	3	1	0	+7	10
2	Sion	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Young Boys	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Servette	4	1	1	2	+0	4
5	Luzern	4	1	1	2	+0	4
6	St. Gallen	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Thun	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Lugano	4	1	0	3	+0	3
9	Xamax	3	0	3	0	+0	3
10	Zurich	3	0	1	2	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.