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Super League
Referee: F San
St. Gallen
S U U T S
0–1
Full-time
Lugano
U U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gallen Lugano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,5
1,5
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
This season — Super League · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 36%
43%
29%
Points per game
1,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
36%
29%
Both score Ø 43%
36%
50%
Average goals
1,8
1,9
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,8
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
14 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match St. Gallen 2. · Lugano 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 14 9 4 1 +12 31
2 St. Gallen 14 6 5 3 +3 23
3 Basel 15 7 2 6 +1 23
4 Zurich 15 6 4 5 +6 22
5 Lugano 14 4 8 2 +1 20
6 Lausanne 15 5 4 6 +0 19
7 Servette 14 5 4 5 -1 19
8 Sion 15 3 7 5 -5 16
9 Luzern 14 3 4 7 -3 13
10 Vaduz 14 1 4 9 -14 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

16. Dec -20 St. Gallen – Lugano 0–0 24. Oct -20 Lugano – St. Gallen 1–0 9. Jul -20 Lugano – St. Gallen 3–3 26. Jan -20 St. Gallen – Lugano 3–1 27. Oct -19 Lugano – St. Gallen 1–3

Match report

St. Gallen Lugano
Boubacar Traorè 🟨
12′
33′
🟨 Asumah Abubakar
Half-time 0–0
49′
🟨 Ákos Kecskés
56′
🔁 J. Ardaiz
↦ M. Bottani
B. Babic 🔁
↦ E. Youan
63′
71′
🔁 M. Čovilo
↦ O. Custodio
71′
🔁 A. Gerndt
↦ Asumah Abubakar
Boubacar Traorè 🟨
72′
Boubacar Traorè 🟥
72′
T. Staubli 🔁
↦ Víctor Ruiz
76′
Euclides Cabral 🔁
↦ J. Guillemenot
76′
81′
🔁 M. Facchinetti
↦ Adrià Guerrero
82′
🔁 R. Macek
↦ S. Lovric
84′
ℹ️ Roman Macek
VAR: Goal cancelled
85′
⚽ M. Marić 0–1
André Ribeiro 🔁
↦ A. Kräuchi
86′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

St. Gallen

4-3-1-2
1 L. Ati-Zigi G
4 L. Stergiou D
8 Jordi Quintillà M
24 K. Duah F
29 A. Kräuchi D
23 B. Fazliji D
16 L. Görtler M
10 Víctor Ruiz M
9 J. Guillemenot M
25 B. Traorè D
20 E. Youan F
Bench (7)
34 B. Babic
26 T. Staubli
15 Euclides Cabral
11 André Ribeiro
55 S. Diarrassouba
18 L. Watkowiak
3 M. Nuhu

Coach: P. Zeidler

Lugano

3-5-1-1
46 N. Baumann G
5 M. Marić D
30 F. Daprelà D
16 N. Lavanchy M
4 Á. Kecskés D
3 Adrià Guerrero M
14 J. Sabbatini M
20 O. Custodio M
24 S. Lovric M
10 M. Bottani F
17 Asumah Abubakar F
Bench (7)
23 J. Ardaiz
6 M. Čovilo
19 A. Gerndt
91 M. Facchinetti
77 R. Macek
76 L. Soldini
13 L. Opara

Coach: M. Jacobacci

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F San · 140 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.