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Eredivisie

Referee: A Lindhout

Feyenoord

T S S S T

2–3

Full-time

AZ Alkmaar

S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord AZ Alkmaar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

1,8

4,2

Scored

1,5

2,7

Conceded

0,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,2

This season — Eredivisie · 15/17 matches

Win Ø 60%

67%

53%

Points per game

2,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

47%

82%

Both score Ø 61%

40%

82%

Average goals

2,7

3,9

Scored

2,0

2,4

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%

13 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 8

0 Blocked shots 1

6 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 4

1 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Feyenoord 5. · AZ Alkmaar 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	18	14	2	2	+46	44
2	Vitesse	18	13	2	3	+19	41
3	PSV Eindhoven	18	12	4	2	+24	40
4	AZ Alkmaar	17	9	7	1	+16	34
5	Feyenoord	15	10	3	2	+19	33
6	Groningen	17	9	3	5	+3	30
7	Twente	18	8	4	6	+8	28
8	Utrecht	16	5	7	4	-1	22
9	Heerenveen	18	5	7	6	-2	22
10	Heracles	18	6	3	9	-8	21
11	Sparta Rotterdam	17	6	2	9	-3	20
12	Zwolle	18	4	8	6	-7	20
13	For Sittard	18	5	4	9	-10	19
14	VVV Venlo	18	5	4	9	-17	19
15	Waalwijk	18	3	5	10	-16	14
16	Den Haag	18	2	5	11	-25	11
17	Willem II	18	2	4	12	-18	10
18	FC Emmen	18	0	6	12	-28	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vitesse	9	8	1	0	+13	25
2	PSV Eindhoven	9	8	0	1	+15	24
3	Ajax	9	7	1	1	+20	22
4	AZ Alkmaar	8	5	2	1	+8	17
5	Utrecht	9	4	4	1	+3	16
6	Groningen	9	4	3	2	+2	15
7	Feyenoord	6	4	2	0	+8	14
8	Heracles	9	4	1	4	+5	13
9	Heerenveen	8	3	2	3	+1	11
10	Twente	10	3	2	5	-1	11
11	Zwolle	9	2	4	3	-2	10
12	VVV Venlo	9	2	3	4	-16	9
13	Sparta Rotterdam	9	2	2	5	-2	8
14	For Sittard	9	2	2	5	-6	8
15	Waalwijk	9	1	4	4	-6	7
16	Willem II	9	2	1	6	-8	7
17	Den Haag	9	0	3	6	-12	3
18	FC Emmen	9	0	3	6	-15	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	9	7	1	1	+26	22
2	Feyenoord	9	6	1	2	+11	19
3	Twente	8	5	2	1	+9	17
4	AZ Alkmaar	9	4	5	0	+8	17
5	PSV Eindhoven	9	4	4	1	+9	16
6	Vitesse	9	5	1	3	+6	16
7	Groningen	8	5	0	3	+1	15
8	Sparta Rotterdam	8	4	0	4	-1	12
9	Heerenveen	10	2	5	3	-3	11
10	For Sittard	9	3	2	4	-4	11
11	VVV Venlo	9	3	1	5	-1	10
12	Zwolle	9	2	4	3	-5	10
13	Den Haag	9	2	2	5	-13	8
14	Heracles	9	2	2	5	-13	8
15	Waalwijk	9	2	1	6	-10	7
16	Utrecht	7	1	3	3	-4	6
17	Willem II	9	0	3	6	-10	3
18	FC Emmen	9	0	3	6	-13	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.