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Eredivisie
Referee: M van den Kerkhof
Twente
S T S T U
0–1
Full-time
VVV Venlo
T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente VVV Venlo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,7
3,5
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 36%
47%
24%
Points per game
1,6
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 74%
65%
82%
Both score Ø 79%
76%
82%
Average goals
3,4
4,2
Scored
1,9
1,6
Conceded
1,4
2,6
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%
21 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 6
6 Blocked shots 0
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 1
2 Offside 4
15 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Twente 7. · VVV Venlo 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 18 14 2 2 +46 44
2 Vitesse 18 13 2 3 +19 41
3 PSV Eindhoven 18 12 4 2 +24 40
4 AZ Alkmaar 17 9 7 1 +16 34
5 Feyenoord 15 10 3 2 +19 33
6 Groningen 17 9 3 5 +3 30
7 Twente 17 8 4 5 +9 28
8 Heerenveen 18 5 7 6 -2 22
9 Heracles 18 6 3 9 -8 21
10 Sparta Rotterdam 16 6 2 8 -2 20
11 Zwolle 18 4 8 6 -7 20
12 Utrecht 15 4 7 4 -2 19
13 For Sittard 18 5 4 9 -10 19
14 VVV Venlo 17 4 4 9 -18 16
15 Waalwijk 18 3 5 10 -16 14
16 Den Haag 18 2 5 11 -25 11
17 Willem II 18 2 4 12 -18 10
18 FC Emmen 18 0 6 12 -28 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Twente VVV Venlo
Ramiz Zerrouki 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–0
50′
🔁 T. Pachonik
↦ T. Dekker
L. Narsingh 🔁
↦ T. van Leeuwen
63′
G. Roemeratoe 🔁
↦ R. Zerrouki
63′
63′
🔁 E. Linthorst
↦ J. John
63′
🔁 T. Hunte
↦ S. Janssen
69′
🟨 Vito van Crooy
Danilo 🟨
77′
78′
T. Hunte 0–1
T. Pachonik
I. Abass 🔁
↦ J. Bosch
82′
84′
🔁 C. Donis
↦ Z. Machach
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Twente

4-3-3
16 J. Drommel G
43 D. Dumić D
4 Julio Pleguezuelo D
15 K. Pierie D
5 G. Smal D
8 L. Ilić M
32 J. Bosch M
19 R. Zerrouki M
37 T. van Leeuwen F
11 Q. Menig F
9 Danilo F
Bench (9)
25 L. Narsingh
20 G. Roemeratoe
10 I. Abass
24 N. Markelo
40 C. Staring
39 D. Rots
38 M. Bruns
22 J. de Lange
30 E. van der Gouw

Coach: R. Jans

VVV Venlo

4-3-3
1 T. Kirschbaum G
38 L. Guwara D
44 K. Da Graca D
4 R. Gelmi D
17 T. Dekker D
6 D. Post M
8 Z. Machach M
15 S. Janssen M
12 J. John F
11 G. Giakoumakis F
10 V. van Crooij F
Bench (12)
2 T. Pachonik
21 E. Linthorst
27 T. Hunte
18 C. Donis
3 A. Swinkels
9 A. Ćorić
22 B. Verbong
19 Y. Roemer
25 J. Arias
16 D. van Crooij
5 S. Schäfer
14 C. Kum

Coach: H. de Koning

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,58
U
4,32
B ✓
5,12
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,47
U2,5 ✓
2,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M van den Kerkhof · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.