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Pro League
Referee: W Alen
0–3
Full-time
Gent
S T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,3
1,7
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
This season — Pro League · 25/22 matches
Win Ø 45%
48%
41%
Points per game
1,7
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
76%
55%
Both score Ø 68%
80%
55%
Average goals
3,4
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

42% Possession 58%
12 Shots 25
5 Shots on target 9
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 7
3 Offside 4
4 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2. · Gent 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 21 13 4 4 +28 43
2 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 25 12 6 7 +7 42
3 Waregem 27 13 3 11 +2 42
4 Genk 23 11 8 4 +17 41
5 Antwerp 22 12 5 5 +12 41
6 Standard 22 10 6 6 +7 36
7 Beerschot VA 25 11 3 11 -4 36
8 Anderlecht 23 8 11 4 +11 35
9 Mechelen 22 10 4 8 +2 34
10 Charleroi 25 10 4 11 +0 34
11 Eupen 25 8 10 7 -6 34
12 Oostende 22 9 5 8 +4 32
13 Kortrijk 25 9 5 11 -5 32
14 Gent 22 9 3 10 +6 30
15 St Truiden 26 7 6 13 -10 27
16 Cercle Brugge 25 8 1 16 -9 25
17 Mouscron 23 6 6 11 -11 24
18 Royal Excel Mouscron 23 6 6 11 -11 24
19 Waasland-Beveren 23 5 6 12 -20 21
20 Beveren 23 5 6 12 -20 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Gent
6′
M. Mohammadi 0–1
Thomas Henry 🟨
29′
45′
🟨 Sven Kums
Half-time 0–1
47′
🟨 Osman Bukari
50′
S. Kums 0–2
S. Schrijvers 🔁
↦ D. Hubert
52′
54′
O. Bukari 0–3
S. Kums
J. Eppiah 🔁
↦ X. Mercier
62′
68′
🔁 A. Niangbo
↦ O. Bukari
A. King 🔁
↦ T. Vlietinck
72′
B. Bese 🔁
↦ K. Malinov
73′
76′
🔁 D. Arslanagić
↦ M. Ngadeu-Ngadjui
76′
🔁 L. Depoitre
↦ R. Yaremchuk
Thomas Henry 🟨
79′
Thomas Henry 🟥
79′
83′
🔁 E. Owusu
↦ N. Dorsch
83′
🔁 Y. Malede
↦ S. Kums
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

4-2-3-1
90 R. Romo G
5 P. Ngawa D
24 C. De Norre D
2 V. Jemelka D
6 D. Hubert M
29 K. Malinov M
10 X. Mercier M
11 T. Vlietinck M
33 M. Maertens M
14 K. Sowah M
9 T. Henry F
Bench (7)
16 S. Schrijvers
26 J. Eppiah
8 A. King
18 B. Bese
38 O. Ravet
15 D. Ouédraogo
21 F. Benković

Coach: M. Brys

Gent

5-3-2
1 S. Bolat G
5 M. Ngadeu-Ngadjui D
25 Núrio Fortuna D
21 A. Hanche-Olsen D
15 M. Mohammadi D
14 A. Castro-Montes D
24 S. Kums M
22 S. Marreh M
30 N. Dorsch M
7 R. Yaremchuk F
20 O. Bukari F
Bench (7)
11 A. Niangbo
36 D. Arslanagić
29 L. Depoitre
6 E. Owusu
23 Y. Malede
33 D. Roef
31 B. Godeau

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,63
U
4,07
B ✓
1,84
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,55
U2,5
2,39
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.