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Ligue 1
Referee: E Wattellier
Rennes
S S U U S
0–1
Full-time
Lille
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Lille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,7
This season — Ligue 1 · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 55%
50%
60%
Points per game
1,8
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
60%
45%
Both score Ø 58%
60%
55%
Average goals
2,6
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,1
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

68% Possession 32%
11 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 2
0 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rennes 5. · Lille 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 21 14 3 4 +37 45
2 Lille 20 12 6 2 +20 42
3 Lyon 20 11 7 2 +20 40
4 Monaco 21 12 3 6 +12 39
5 Rennes 20 10 6 4 +8 36
6 Marseille 20 9 5 6 +5 32
7 Bordeaux 21 9 5 7 +3 32
8 Metz 21 8 7 6 +5 31
9 Lens 21 9 4 8 +0 31
10 Angers 21 9 3 9 -7 30
11 Montpellier 21 8 4 9 -6 28
12 Nice 20 7 5 8 -5 26
13 Brest 21 8 2 11 -6 26
14 Reims 21 6 6 9 -2 24
15 Strasbourg 21 7 3 11 -3 24
16 St Etienne 20 4 7 9 -10 19
17 Nantes 21 3 9 9 -14 18
18 Dijon 20 2 9 9 -14 15
19 Nimes 20 4 3 13 -25 15
20 Lorient 19 3 3 13 -18 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

22. Aug -20 Lille – Rennes 1–1 4. Feb -20 Lille – Rennes 1–0 22. Sep -19 Rennes – Lille 1–1 24. May -19 Rennes – Lille 3–1 11. Aug -18 Lille – Rennes 3–1

Match report

Rennes Lille
16′
⚽ J. David 0–1
Steven​ N'Zonzi 🟨
22′
34′
🟨 Zeki Çelik
Clément Grenier 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–1
R. Del Castillo 🔁
↦ A. Truffert
56′
62′
🔁 J. Ikoné
↦ Luiz Araujo
75′
🔁 T. Weah
↦ Y. Yazıcı
A. Hunou 🔁
↦ E. Camavinga
78′
Dalbert Henrique 🔁
↦ F. Maouassa
87′
88′
🔁 Tiago Djaló
↦ M. Çelik
89′
🔁 Renato Sanches
↦ J. David
90′
🟨 Benjamin André
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Rennes

4-4-1-1
1 R. Salin G
27 H. Traoré D
4 G. Nyamsi D
6 N. Aguerd D
31 A. Truffert M
8 C. Grenier F
15 S. Nzonzi M
17 F. Maouassa D
7 M. Terrier F
10 E. Camavinga M
18 J. Doku M
Bench (9)
22 R. Del Castillo
23 A. Hunou
5 Dalbert Henrique
3 D. Da Silva
19 Y. Gboho
16 A. Gomis
24 D. Rugani
33 L. Assignon
28 J. Martin

Coach: J. Stéphan

Lille

4-4-2
16 M. Maignan G
6 José Fonte D
28 Reinildo D
2 M. Çelik D
5 S. Botman D
21 B. André M
24 B. Soumaré M
12 Y. Yazıcı F
11 Luiz Araujo M
7 J. Bamba M
9 J. David F
Bench (9)
10 J. Ikoné
22 T. Weah
3 Tiago Djaló
18 Renato Sanches
29 D. Bradarić
27 C. Niasse
30 L. Chevalier
34 I. Bouleghcha
19 I. Lihadji

Coach: C. Galtier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,78
🔒
U
3,05
🔒
B ✓
2,74
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,41
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,55
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

E Wattellier · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.