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Süper Lig

Referee: Erkan Ozdamar

Denizlispor

U T U T T

1–2

Full-time

Karagumruk

T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Denizlispor Karagumruk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

3,2

3,5

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

2,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-0,5

This season — Süper Lig · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 27%

16%

37%

Points per game

0,7

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

47%

68%

Both score Ø 66%

53%

79%

Average goals

2,8

3,1

Scored

0,9

1,6

Conceded

1,9

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,9

+0,2

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%

17 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 1

0 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Denizlispor 21. · Karagumruk 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Besiktas	19	13	2	4	+23	41
2	Fenerbahce	19	12	3	4	+16	39
3	Galatasaray	19	11	3	5	+23	36
4	Gaziantep	19	9	7	3	+10	34
5	Trabzonspor	20	9	6	5	+2	33
6	Alanyaspor	19	9	4	6	+13	31
7	Hatayspor	19	9	4	6	+4	31
8	Karagumruk	19	7	6	6	+3	27
9	Yeni Malatyaspor	19	7	6	6	+2	27
10	Antalyaspor	20	6	8	6	-6	26
11	Goztep	19	6	7	6	+6	25
12	Rizespor	20	6	7	7	-8	25
13	Sivasspor	19	5	9	5	-2	24
14	Buyuksehyr	20	6	6	8	-6	24
15	Konyaspor	20	6	5	9	+0	23
16	Kasimpasa	19	6	4	9	-9	22
17	Kayserispor	19	5	4	10	-9	19
18	Genclerbirligi	20	5	4	11	-20	19
19	Ankaragücü	19	5	3	11	-8	18
20	Erzurumspor	20	4	5	11	-16	17
21	Denizlispor	19	3	5	11	-18	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Besiktas	9	7	1	1	+19	22
2	Galatasaray	10	6	3	1	+18	21
3	Gaziantep	9	6	3	0	+10	21
4	Alanyaspor	9	6	2	1	+14	20
5	Karagumruk	10	6	2	2	+8	20
6	Hatayspor	10	5	3	2	+7	18
7	Yeni Malatyaspor	9	5	3	1	+7	18
8	Rizespor	10	5	3	2	+3	18
9	Antalyaspor	10	5	2	3	-1	17
10	Fenerbahce	9	5	1	3	+3	16
11	Trabzonspor	10	5	1	4	+0	16
12	Goztep	10	4	3	3	+8	15
13	Konyaspor	10	4	3	3	+4	15
14	Buyuksehyr	10	3	5	2	+3	14
15	Kasimpasa	9	4	2	3	-2	14
16	Ankaragücü	10	4	1	5	+1	13
17	Genclerbirligi	10	3	3	4	-4	12
18	Kayserispor	10	3	2	5	-4	11
19	Sivasspor	10	2	4	4	-3	10
20	Erzurumspor	10	0	5	5	-7	5
21	Denizlispor	9	1	2	6	-7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	10	7	2	1	+13	23
2	Besiktas	10	6	1	3	+4	19
3	Trabzonspor	10	4	5	1	+2	17
4	Galatasaray	9	5	0	4	+5	15
5	Sivasspor	9	3	5	1	+1	14
6	Gaziantep	10	3	4	3	+0	13
7	Hatayspor	9	4	1	4	-3	13
8	Erzurumspor	10	4	0	6	-9	12
9	Alanyaspor	10	3	2	5	-1	11
10	Goztep	9	2	4	3	-2	10
11	Buyuksehyr	10	3	1	6	-9	10
12	Yeni Malatyaspor	10	2	3	5	-5	9
13	Antalyaspor	10	1	6	3	-5	9
14	Denizlispor	10	2	3	5	-11	9
15	Konyaspor	10	2	2	6	-4	8
16	Kayserispor	9	2	2	5	-5	8
17	Kasimpasa	10	2	2	6	-7	8
18	Karagumruk	9	1	4	4	-5	7
19	Rizespor	10	1	4	5	-11	7
20	Genclerbirligi	10	2	1	7	-16	7
21	Ankaragücü	9	1	2	6	-9	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.