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Super League

Referee: U Schnyder

Lugano

T T S T S

2–1

Full-time

Basel

U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Basel

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

This season — Super League · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 34%

28%

40%

Points per game

1,3

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

36%

60%

Both score Ø 58%

52%

64%

Average goals

2,2

3,0

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,1

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

46% Possession 54%

20 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 7

2 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lugano 6. · Basel 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	24	14	9	1	+21	51
2	Servette	25	10	7	8	-1	37
3	Basel	25	10	6	9	+2	36
4	Lausanne	25	9	7	9	+3	34
5	Zurich	25	9	6	10	+2	33
6	Lugano	25	7	12	6	+2	33
7	St. Gallen	26	8	8	10	-2	32
8	Luzern	25	8	7	10	+2	31
9	Sion	25	5	10	10	-10	25
10	Vaduz	25	5	8	12	-19	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	11	7	3	1	+7	24
2	Servette	12	5	6	1	+5	21
3	Lausanne	13	7	0	6	+4	21
4	Basel	13	5	6	2	+3	21
5	Luzern	12	4	6	2	+9	18
6	St. Gallen	13	5	3	5	+1	18
7	Zurich	13	4	4	5	+2	16
8	Sion	13	3	5	5	-4	14
9	Lugano	12	3	4	5	-4	13
10	Vaduz	13	3	3	7	-11	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	13	7	6	0	+14	27
2	Lugano	13	4	8	1	+6	20
3	Zurich	12	5	2	5	+0	17
4	Servette	13	5	1	7	-6	16
5	Basel	12	5	0	7	-1	15
6	St. Gallen	13	3	5	5	-3	14
7	Lausanne	12	2	7	3	-1	13
8	Luzern	13	4	1	8	-7	13
9	Sion	12	2	5	5	-6	11
10	Vaduz	12	2	5	5	-8	11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.