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Super League
Referee: A Jaccottet
Lugano
T U T T S
0–1
Full-time
Zurich
T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Zurich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
This season — Super League · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 31%
26%
35%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
35%
61%
Both score Ø 57%
57%
57%
Average goals
2,3
2,9
Scored
1,1
1,5
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

69% Possession 31%
14 Shots 7
0 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 2
0 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lugano 6. · Zurich 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 23 14 8 1 +21 50
2 Servette 24 9 7 8 -2 34
3 Basel 24 9 6 9 -1 33
4 St. Gallen 23 8 7 8 +1 31
5 Lausanne 22 8 6 8 +4 30
6 Lugano 23 6 12 5 +0 30
7 Zurich 23 8 5 10 +1 29
8 Luzern 23 7 7 9 +3 28
9 Vaduz 24 5 8 11 -16 23
10 Sion 23 4 10 9 -11 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. Dec -20 Lugano – Zurich 0–1 26. Sep -20 Zurich – Lugano 2–2 22. Jul -20 Lugano – Zurich 1–0 28. Jun -20 Zurich – Lugano 1–0 20. Oct -19 Lugano – Zurich 0–0

Match report

Lugano Zurich
18′
⚽ M. Schönbächler 0–1
Half-time 0–1
S. Lovric 🔁
↦ M. Čovilo
46′
Fabio Daprelà 🟨
49′
Asumah Abubakar 🔁
↦ A. Gerndt
64′
70′
🔁 B. Džemaili
↦ S. Seiler
70′
🔁 W. Gnonto
↦ A. Ceesay
76′
🔁 T. Schättin
↦ M. Schönbächler
J. Ardaiz 🔁
↦ J. Sabbatini
85′
Olivier Custodio 🟨
89′
R. Macek 🔁
↦ O. Custodio
90′
R. Ziegler 🔁
↦ F. Daprelà
90′
92′
🔁 S. Wallner
↦ S. Khelifi
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Lugano

3-1-4-2
46 N. Baumann G
5 M. Marić D
30 F. Daprelà D
91 M. Facchinetti M
16 N. Lavanchy M
4 Á. Kecskés D
6 M. Čovilo M
14 J. Sabbatini M
20 O. Custodio M
19 A. Gerndt F
10 M. Bottani F
Bench (7)
24 S. Lovric
17 Asumah Abubakar
23 J. Ardaiz
77 R. Macek
33 R. Ziegler
58 S. Osigwe
13 L. Opara

Coach: M. Jacobacci

Zurich

4-2-3-1
25 Y. Brecher G
6 F. Aliti D
3 Nathan D
4 B. Omeragić D
27 M. Schönbächler M
26 S. Khelifi M
71 H. Kryeziu D
20 O. Doumbia M
33 S. Seiler M
9 A. Ceesay M
18 B. Kramer F
Bench (6)
21 B. Džemaili
22 W. Gnonto
19 T. Schättin
42 S. Wallner
36 F. Frei
1 Ž. Kostadinović

Coach: M. Rizzo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Jaccottet · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.