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Super League
Referee: S Horisberger
Zurich
U T U T T
3–0
Full-time
Lugano
U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zurich Lugano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,0
This season — Super League · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 31%
29%
32%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
61%
35%
Both score Ø 55%
61%
48%
Average goals
2,9
2,2
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
13 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zurich 8. · Lugano 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 30 20 9 1 +35 69
2 Basel 32 13 8 11 +7 47
3 Servette 31 12 8 11 -7 44
4 Lugano 31 10 13 8 +2 43
5 Luzern 32 11 9 12 +4 42
6 Lausanne 30 11 8 11 +3 41
7 St. Gallen 32 9 10 13 -6 37
8 Zurich 31 9 8 14 -6 35
9 Vaduz 32 8 9 15 -17 33
10 Sion 31 6 12 13 -15 30

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Mar -21 Lugano – Zurich 0–1 13. Dec -20 Lugano – Zurich 0–1 26. Sep -20 Zurich – Lugano 2–2 22. Jul -20 Lugano – Zurich 1–0 28. Jun -20 Zurich – Lugano 1–0

Match report

Zurich Lugano
Toni Domgjoni ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
36′
37′
🟨 Mijat Marić
1–0 A. Marchesano ⚽
37′
Fidan Aliti 🟨
40′
Tosin Aiyegun 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
L. Kamberi 🔁
↦ H. Kryeziu
46′
46′
🔁 M. Čovilo
↦ M. Bottani
46′
🔁 C. Lungoyi
↦ M. Marić
Ousmane Doumbia 🟨
52′
Blaž Kramer ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
53′
53′
🟨 Miroslav Čovilo
2–0 A. Marchesano ⚽
54′
56′
🔁 A. Gerndt
↦ S. Lovrić
3–0 B. Kramer ⚽
58′
61′
🟨 Joaquín Ardaiz
F. Rohner 🔁
↦ M. Schönbächler
69′
75′
🔁 S. Guidotti
↦ J. Sabbatini
A. Winter 🔁
↦ A. Tosin
78′
S. Seiler 🔁
↦ A. Marchesano
78′
A. Ceesay 🔁
↦ B. Kramer
86′
88′
🔁 M. Facchinetti
↦ Adrià Guerrero
90′
🟨 Christophe Lungoyi
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Zurich

4-2-3-1
25 Y. Brecher G
6 F. Aliti D
3 Nathan D
4 B. Omeragić D
27 M. Schönbächler M
10 A. Marchesano M
71 H. Kryeziu D
20 O. Doumbia M
14 T. Domgjoni M
18 B. Kramer F
15 A. Tosin M
Bench (7)
2 L. Kamberi
23 F. Rohner
7 A. Winter
33 S. Seiler
9 A. Ceesay
1 Ž. Kostadinović
32 N. Reichmuth

Coach: M. Rizzo

Lugano

4-4-2
58 S. Osigwe G
33 R. Ziegler D
5 M. Marić D
16 N. Lavanchy D
3 Adrià Guerrero D
14 J. Sabbatini M
20 O. Custodio M
24 S. Lovrić M
10 M. Bottani F
23 J. Ardaiz F
17 Asumah Abubakar M
Bench (7)
6 M. Čovilo
8 C. Lungoyi
19 A. Gerndt
22 S. Guidotti
91 M. Facchinetti
46 N. Baumann
25 M. Ošs

Coach: M. Jacobacci

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Horisberger · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.