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Super League
Referee: L Cibelli
Young Boys
T S U S T
5–1
Full-time
Luzern
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Young Boys Luzern
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,7
3,3
Scored
2,3
2,2
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
This season — Super League · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 49%
57%
40%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
67%
53%
Both score Ø 63%
63%
63%
Average goals
3,2
2,9
Scored
2,3
1,6
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

55% Possession 45%
15 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Young Boys 1. · Luzern 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 30 17 10 3 +45 61
2 Lugano 31 12 10 9 +8 46
3 Luzern 30 12 9 9 +8 45
4 Servette 31 10 15 6 -1 45
5 Grasshoppers 31 11 7 13 -6 40
6 Basel 30 9 12 9 +3 39
7 St. Gallen 31 9 10 12 +7 37
8 Zurich 31 7 13 11 -18 34
9 Sion 31 7 10 14 -19 31
10 Winterthur 30 7 8 15 -27 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

5. Feb -23 Luzern – Young Boys 1–1 13. Nov -22 Young Boys – Luzern 3–0 2. Oct -22 Luzern – Young Boys 1–2 19. May -22 Luzern – Young Boys 2–2 5. Mar -22 Young Boys – Luzern 2–2

Match report

Young Boys Luzern
24′
🟨 Nicky Medja Beloko
1–0 J. Nsame ⚽
32′
2–0 C. Fassnacht ⚽
F. Rieder
38′
41′
⚽ A. Amenda 3–0
own goal
4–0 S. Lauper ⚽
44′
Half-time 4–0
Christian Fassnacht 🟨
50′
59′
🟨 Ismajl Beka
5–0 F. Rieder ⚽
61′
68′
🔁 M. Diambou
↦ N. Beloko
68′
🔁 L. Breedijk
↦ P. Schürpf
K. Imeri 🔁
↦ C. Fassnacht
70′
C. Itten 🔁
↦ J. Nsame
70′
73′
🔁 N. Rupp
↦ M. Dräger
D. Rrudhani 🔁
↦ F. Ugrinic
79′
Joël Monteiro 🔁
↦ M. Elia
79′
F. Lustenberger 🔁
↦ F. Rieder
79′
80′
🔁 B. Kimpioka
↦ L. Villiger
6–0 C. Itten ⚽
K. Imeri
80′
Full-time 6–0

Line-ups

Young Boys

4-3-1-2
1 A. Racioppi G
14 M. Chaiwa D
4 A. Amenda D
5 C. Zesiger D
21 U. Garcia D
16 C. Fassnacht M
30 S. Lauper M
7 F. Ugrinic M
32 F. Rieder M
18 J. Nsame F
15 M. Elia F
Bench (9)
29 K. Imeri
11 C. Itten
22 D. Rrudhani
77 Joël Monteiro
28 F. Lustenberger
23 L. Benito
33 M. Keller
20 C. Niasse
27 L. Blum

Coach: R. Wicky

Luzern

4-2-3-1
1 M. Müller G
74 S. Ottiger D
4 L. Jaquez D
30 I. Beka D
13 M. Frýdek D
6 A. Jashari M
18 N. Beloko M
2 M. Dräger M
20 P. Dorn M
11 P. Schürpf M
27 L. Villiger F
Bench (7)
15 M. Diambou
14 L. Breedijk
41 N. Rupp
77 B. Kimpioka
42 M. Willimann
26 I. Hegglin
38 P. Loretz

Coach: M. Frick

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

L Cibelli · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.