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Super League
Referee: A Kanagasingam
Winterthur
U T T T U
1–5
Full-time
Young Boys
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Winterthur Young Boys
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,4
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 27%
20%
33%
Both score Ø 30%
60%
0%
Average goals
2,4
1,7
Scored
0,6
1,5
Conceded
1,8
0,2
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+1,3
This season — Super League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
0%
60%
Points per game
0,4
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
20%
60%
Both score Ø 40%
60%
20%
Average goals
2,4
2,4
Scored
0,6
2,2
Conceded
1,8
0,2
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

37% Possession 63%
5 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 11
1 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 8
3 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Winterthur 9. · Young Boys 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gallen 6 4 0 2 +6 12
2 Young Boys 5 3 2 0 +10 11
3 Servette 6 3 2 1 +1 11
4 Grasshoppers 6 2 3 1 +0 9
5 Luzern 5 2 2 1 +0 8
6 Sion 6 2 2 2 -1 8
7 Lugano 6 2 0 4 +1 6
8 Basel 4 0 3 1 -2 3
9 Winterthur 5 0 2 3 -6 2
10 Zurich 5 0 2 3 -9 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Winterthur Young Boys
Samir Ramizi ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
2′
1–0 R. Buess
3′
9′
🟨 Mohamed Camara
17′
M. Elia 1–1
Eris Abedini 🟨
39′
45′
🟨 Cedric Zesiger
Half-time 1–1
H. Kryeziu 🔁
↦ E. Abedini
46′
50′
J. Nsame 1–2
F. Ugrinic
52′
F. Ugrinic 1–3
D. von Ballmoos
N. Manzambi 🔁
↦ R. Gelmi
61′
M. Gonçalves 🔁
↦ A. Gantenbein
61′
63′
🔁 C. Itten
↦ J. Nsame
63′
🔁 M. Ngamaleu
↦ D. Rrudhani
69′
C. Itten 1–4
M. Elia
F. Kamberi 🔁
↦ R. Buess
74′
T. Corbaz 🔁
↦ F. Rodríguez
74′
74′
🔁 K. Imeri
↦ F. Ugrinic
74′
🔁 F. Lustenberger
↦ C. Zesiger
76′
C. Itten 1–5
81′
🔁 Joël Monteiro
↦ M. Elia
Granit Lekaj 🟨
85′
Full-time 1–5

Line-ups

Winterthur

3-5-1-1
1 T. Fayulu G
5 R. Gelmi D
25 Y. Schmid D
4 G. Lekaj D
19 A. Gantenbein M
8 S. Ramizi M
77 E. Abedini M
44 F. Rodríguez M
3 T. Schättin M
10 M. Di Giusto F
9 R. Buess F
Bench (11)
40 H. Kryeziu
11 N. Manzambi
15 M. Gonçalves
22 F. Kamberi
14 T. Corbaz
16 R. Arnold
21 K. Costinha
36 J. Pukaj
18 S. Diaby
27 A. Abaz
20 C. Chiappetta

Coach: B. Berner

Young Boys

4-3-1-2
26 D. von Ballmoos G
17 K. Rüegg D
13 M. Camara D
5 C. Zesiger D
23 L. Benito D
22 D. Rrudhani M
8 V. Sierro M
7 F. Ugrinic M
32 F. Rieder M
15 M. Elia F
18 J. Nsame F
Bench (9)
11 C. Itten
10 M. Ngamaleu
29 K. Imeri
28 F. Lustenberger
77 Joël Monteiro
20 C. Niasse
21 U. Garcia
1 A. Racioppi
27 L. Blum

Coach: R. Wicky

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Kanagasingam · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.