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Super League

Referee: E Staubli

Lugano

U S S S U

2–1

Full-time

Winterthur

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Winterthur

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,8

3,5

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

0,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,8

This season — Super League · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 32%

38%

25%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

53%

47%

Both score Ø 68%

72%

63%

Average goals

2,9

2,8

Scored

1,6

0,9

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

64% Possession 36%

10 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 4

2 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lugano 3. · Winterthur 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	33	19	11	3	+51	68
2	Servette	33	12	15	6	+5	51
3	Lugano	32	12	11	9	+8	47
4	Luzern	33	12	10	11	+2	46
5	Grasshoppers	33	12	7	14	-5	43
6	Basel	32	10	12	10	+4	42
7	Zurich	33	8	14	11	-16	38
8	St. Gallen	32	9	10	13	+5	37
9	Winterthur	32	8	8	16	-29	32
10	Sion	33	7	10	16	-25	31

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	17	13	4	0	+42	43
2	Servette	17	8	8	1	+15	32
3	Grasshoppers	17	9	2	6	+6	29
4	Lugano	16	7	5	4	+8	26
5	St. Gallen	16	6	6	4	+7	24
6	Basel	16	5	7	4	+4	22
7	Luzern	16	5	6	5	+3	21
8	Zurich	16	4	8	4	-3	20
9	Winterthur	16	5	4	7	-14	19
10	Sion	16	2	4	10	-17	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	16	6	7	3	+9	25
2	Luzern	17	7	4	6	-1	25
3	Lugano	16	5	6	5	+0	21
4	Sion	17	5	6	6	-8	21
5	Basel	16	5	5	6	+0	20
6	Servette	16	4	7	5	-10	19
7	Zurich	17	4	6	7	-13	18
8	Grasshoppers	16	3	5	8	-11	14
9	St. Gallen	16	3	4	9	-2	13
10	Winterthur	16	3	4	9	-15	13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.