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Super League
Referee: F San
Winterthur
T T S T T
1–4
Full-time
Basel
U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Winterthur Basel
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 27%
23%
30%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
47%
40%
Both score Ø 60%
63%
57%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
0,9
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

45% Possession 55%
6 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
0 Corners 5
17 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Winterthur 10. · Basel 6. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 30 17 10 3 +45 61
2 Lugano 31 12 10 9 +8 46
3 Luzern 30 12 9 9 +8 45
4 Servette 31 10 15 6 -1 45
5 Grasshoppers 31 11 7 13 -6 40
6 Basel 30 9 12 9 +3 39
7 St. Gallen 31 9 10 12 +7 37
8 Zurich 31 7 13 11 -18 34
9 Sion 31 7 10 14 -19 31
10 Winterthur 30 7 8 15 -27 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Apr -23 Basel – Winterthur 2–0 23. Oct -22 Basel – Winterthur 3–1 16. Jul -22 Winterthur – Basel 1–1

Match report

Winterthur Basel
Nishan Burkart 🟨
6′
7′
⚽ K. Adams 0–1
M. Lang
12′
⚽ D. Males 0–2
Z. Amdouni
Sayfallah Ltaief ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
18′
1–2 J. Ardaiz ⚽
20′
33′
🟨 Dan Ndoye
Half-time 1–2
46′
🟨 Andy Diouf
S. Ballet 🔁
↦ N. Burkart
46′
Samir Ramizi 🟨
57′
Roy Gelmi 🟨
57′
R. Buess 🔁
↦ M. Gonçalves
63′
S. Diaby 🔁
↦ S. Ltaief
69′
71′
🔁 A. Zeqiri
↦ J. Augustin
71′
⚽ Z. Amdouni 1–3
D. Males
F. Rodríguez 🔁
↦ S. Ramizi
73′
N. Holenstein 🔁
↦ M. Di Giusto
73′
78′
🔁 W. Burger
↦ A. Diouf
83′
⚽ A. Zeqiri 1–4
D. Males
89′
🔁 M. Akahomen
↦ R. Calafiori
89′
🔁 E. Essiam
↦ T. Xhaka
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Winterthur

4-2-3-1
30 M. Kuster G
15 M. Gonçalves D
25 Y. Schmid D
5 R. Gelmi D
3 T. Schättin D
16 R. Arnold M
8 S. Ramizi M
99 N. Burkart M
10 M. Di Giusto M
24 S. Ltaief M
11 J. Ardaiz F
Bench (9)
17 S. Ballet
9 R. Buess
18 S. Diaby
44 F. Rodríguez
22 N. Holenstein
77 E. Abedini
1 T. Fayulu
14 T. Corbaz
40 H. Kryeziu

Coach: B. Berner

Basel

3-4-2-1
13 M. Salvi G
5 M. Lang D
15 K. Adams D
33 R. Calafiori D
27 D. Ndoye M
34 T. Xhaka M
8 A. Diouf M
22 Sergio López M
19 D. Males F
9 Z. Amdouni F
10 J. Augustin F
Bench (9)
17 A. Zeqiri
23 W. Burger
36 M. Akahomen
18 E. Essiam
90 Hugo Novoa
30 A. Kade
7 L. Millar
16 N. de Mol
14 B. Fink

Coach: H. Vogel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F San · 140 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.