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Super League

Referee: L Fähndrich

Young Boys

S T U S U

4–2

Full-time

Luzern

T U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Young Boys Luzern

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,7

1,8

Scored

1,7

0,8

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 47%

55%

39%

Points per game

1,9

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

52%

48%

Both score Ø 55%

52%

58%

Average goals

2,9

2,5

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

0,9

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

2,54 xG 2,12

46% Possession 54%

26 Shots 17

11 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 7

7 Corners 7

1 Offside 3

19 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Young Boys 1. · Luzern 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	31	17	8	6	+32	+2.1	59
2	Lugano	32	17	5	10	+15	+10.4	56
3	Servette	32	15	9	8	+14	+25.2	54
4	Zurich	32	12	12	8	+10	+2.4	48
5	St. Gallen	32	13	8	11	+8	+14.3	47
6	Winterthur	31	12	10	9	-1	-7.2	46
7	Luzern	31	12	7	12	-3	+2.0	43
8	Lausanne	32	10	10	12	-3	+2.0	40
9	Basel	32	11	6	15	-10	-4.3	39
10	Yverdon	32	10	7	15	-24	-19.5	37
11	Grasshoppers	32	8	6	18	-9	-10.1	30
12	Lausanne Ouchy	31	5	8	18	-29	-17.2	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	15	12	2	1	+31	+6.0	38
2	St. Gallen	17	11	3	3	+16	+10.3	36
3	Servette	16	9	4	3	+13	+17.0	31
4	Winterthur	16	9	4	3	+5	+0.8	31
5	Yverdon	16	9	4	3	+3	-5.6	31
6	Luzern	16	9	3	4	+6	+2.9	30
7	Zurich	15	7	7	1	+9	+1.7	28
8	Lugano	15	8	3	4	+8	+7.6	27
9	Lausanne	16	7	5	4	+7	+6.1	26
10	Basel	16	6	4	6	+1	-1.5	22
11	Grasshoppers	16	6	3	7	+5	-3.5	21
12	Lausanne Ouchy	16	2	6	8	-18	-6.2	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	17	9	2	6	+7	+2.8	29
2	Servette	16	6	5	5	+1	+8.2	23
3	Young Boys	16	5	6	5	+1	-3.9	21
4	Zurich	17	5	5	7	+1	+0.7	20
5	Basel	16	5	2	9	-11	-2.8	17
6	Winterthur	15	3	6	6	-6	-8.0	15
7	Lausanne	16	3	5	8	-10	-4.2	14
8	Luzern	15	3	4	8	-9	-1.0	13
9	St. Gallen	15	2	5	8	-8	+4.0	11
10	Lausanne Ouchy	15	3	2	10	-11	-11.0	11
11	Grasshoppers	16	2	3	11	-14	-6.7	9
12	Yverdon	16	1	3	12	-27	-14.0	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.