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Super League
Referee: L Tschudi
Servette
T T T T S
2–1
Full-time
Winterthur
S U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Servette Winterthur
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
1,8
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 44%
48%
39%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
48%
67%
Both score Ø 70%
61%
79%
Average goals
2,8
3,4
Scored
1,6
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,47 xG 1,07
50% Possession 50%
18 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Corners 1
1 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Servette 3. · Winterthur 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Young Boys 33 19 8 6 +35 +2.8 65
2 Lugano 33 18 5 10 +17 +12.5 59
3 Servette 33 16 9 8 +15 +26.5 57
4 St. Gallen 33 14 8 11 +9 +15.2 50
5 Winterthur 33 13 10 10 -1 -5.7 49
6 Zurich 33 12 12 9 +9 +1.5 48
7 Luzern 33 12 8 13 -5 +1.6 44
8 Lausanne 33 10 10 13 -5 -0.2 40
9 Basel 33 11 7 15 -10 -4.3 40
10 Yverdon 33 11 7 15 -21 -17.8 40
11 Grasshoppers 33 8 6 19 -10 -11.4 30
12 Lausanne Ouchy 33 5 8 20 -33 -20.7 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Servette Winterthur
1–0 E. Crivelli
2′
2–0 D. Douline
4′
17′
🟨 Adrian Durrer
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 B. Stillhart
↦ A. Durrer
46′
🔁 S. Ltaief
↦ M. Di Giusto
David Douline 🟨
66′
T. Nishimura 🔁
↦ E. Crivelli
66′
D. Kutesa 🔁
↦ B. Bolla
66′
68′
🔁 A. Baroan
↦ N. Burkart
69′
🔁 T. Corbaz
↦ B. Fofana
D. Bronn 🔁
↦ T. Cognat
82′
86′
R. Schneider 2–1
A. Baroan
T. Magnin 🔁
↦ A. Antunes
91′
A. Baron 🔁
↦ D. Douline
91′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Servette

4-1-4-1
32 J. Frick G
3 K. Tsunemoto D
4 S. Rouiller D
19 Y. Severin D
18 B. Mazikou D
28 D. Douline M
9 M. Stevanović M
8 T. Cognat M
10 A. Antunes M
77 B. Bolla M
27 E. Crivelli F
Bench (9)
7 T. Nishimura
17 D. Kutesa
25 D. Bronn
20 T. Magnin
6 A. Baron
1 J. Mall
21 J. Guillemenot
5 G. Ondoua
30 S. Diba

Coach: R. Weiler

Winterthur

4-2-3-1
33 M. Keller G
19 A. Gantenbein D
16 R. Arnold D
21 L. Lüthi D
24 S. Sidler D
6 R. Schneider M
22 A. Durrer M
99 N. Burkart M
10 M. Di Giusto M
29 B. Fofana M
11 A. Turkes F
Bench (9)
4 B. Stillhart
70 S. Ltaief
28 A. Baroan
14 T. Corbaz
25 Y. Schmid
23 G. Lekaj
15 M. Gonçalves
3 T. Schättin
30 M. Kuster

Coach: P. Rahmen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Tschudi · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.