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Super League
Referee: L Cibelli
Zurich
S S S S S
4–2
Full-time
Winterthur
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zurich Winterthur
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
100%
17%
Points per game
3,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
2,3
1,0
Conceded
0,7
2,5
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
1,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

51% Possession 49%
36 Shots 8
14 Shots on target 4
8 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 10
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Zurich 4. · Winterthur 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Servette 3 3 0 0 +4 -0.4 9
2 Sion 2 2 0 0 +5 +2.5 6
3 Lugano 2 2 0 0 +2 -1.5 6
4 Zurich 1 1 0 0 +2 – 3
5 Winterthur 1 1 0 0 +1 – 3
6 Lausanne 2 1 0 1 -3 -2.4 3
7 Grasshoppers 2 0 1 1 -1 -0.3 1
8 Luzern 2 0 1 1 -1 +0.2 1
9 St. Gallen 1 0 0 1 -1 – 0
10 Basel 2 0 0 2 -2 +1.7 0
11 Young Boys 2 0 0 2 -3 +0.1 0
12 Yverdon 2 0 0 2 -3 – 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zurich Winterthur
1–0 B. Krasniqi ⚽
13′
Armstrong Oko-Flex 🟨
26′
30′
⚽ M. Di Giusto 1–1
2–1 N. Katić ⚽
32′
Half-time 2–1
J. Perea 🔁
↦ F. Goure
46′
J. Okita 🔁
↦ A. Oko-Flex
46′
46′
🔁 C. Chiappetta
↦ B. Fofana
51′
⚽ M. Di Giusto 2–2
F. Rohner
Nikola Katić ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
56′
57′
🟨 Remo Arnold
3–2 A. Marchesano ⚽
59′
I. Mathew 🔁
↦ M. Chouiar
60′
65′
🔁 C. Gomis
↦ A. Turkes
66′
🔁 R. Schneider
↦ B. Stillhart
L. Kamberi 🔁
↦ M. Gómez
74′
D. Afriyie 🔁
↦ A. Marchesano
74′
76′
🔁 A. Krasniqi
↦ F. Rohner
82′
🟨 Remo Arnold
82′
🟥 Remo Arnold
Jonathan Okita 🟨
86′
89′
🔁 A. Baroan
↦ S. Sidler
4–2 J. Perea ⚽
B. Krasniqi
95′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Zurich

4-3-3
25 Y. Brecher G
5 M. Gómez D
24 N. Katić D
31 M. Kryeziu D
4 S. Wallner D
10 A. Marchesano M
17 C. Conde M
7 B. Krasniqi M
22 A. Oko-Flex F
19 F. Goure F
23 M. Chouiar F
Bench (9)
9 J. Perea
11 J. Okita
12 I. Mathew
2 L. Kamberi
18 D. Afriyie
1 Ž. Kostadinović
16 D. Leidner
32 S. Hodza
20 C. Ligue

Coach: R. Moniz

Winterthur

4-2-3-1
30 M. Kuster G
24 S. Sidler D
23 G. Lekaj D
16 R. Arnold D
18 S. Diaby D
4 B. Stillhart M
7 L. Zuffi M
27 F. Rohner M
10 M. Di Giusto M
29 B. Fofana M
11 A. Turkes F
Bench (9)
20 C. Chiappetta
15 C. Gomis
6 R. Schneider
17 A. Krasniqi
28 A. Baroan
21 L. Lüthi
8 M. Araz
3 T. Schättin
75 A. Spagnoli

Coach: O. Zaric

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
U
–
B
–
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

L Cibelli · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.