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Allsvenskan
Referee: F Klitte
Hammarby
S S U T S
3–0
Full-time
Mjallby
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hammarby Mjallby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 59%
17%
100%
Average goals
2,0
3,7
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
0,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 15/16 matches
Win Ø 55%
53%
56%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 74%
73%
75%
Both score Ø 61%
47%
75%
Average goals
2,6
3,1
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
15 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 5
4 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hammarby 5. · Mjallby 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Malmo FF 17 12 2 3 +28 +16.5 38
2 Djurgarden 15 10 1 4 +15 +0.9 31
3 Mjallby 16 9 2 5 +7 -0.6 29
4 Elfsborg 16 8 1 7 +8 +4.3 25
5 Hammarby 15 8 1 6 +7 +0.3 25
6 GAIS 15 8 1 6 -1 -2.3 25
7 Hacken 16 7 3 6 +1 -3.3 24
8 Sirius 16 6 3 7 +0 -0.2 21
9 Brommapojkarna 16 5 6 5 -5 +2.5 21
10 Halmstad 16 7 0 9 -7 -3.3 21
11 AIK 15 6 2 7 -6 +0.8 20
12 Varnamo 16 5 3 8 -4 -4.6 18
13 Goteborg 16 5 3 8 -8 -4.1 18
14 Norrkoping 16 5 2 9 -17 -3.7 17
15 Kalmar 16 5 1 10 -12 -6.6 16
16 Vasteras SK 15 3 3 9 -6 +3.4 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hammarby Mjallby
35′
🟨 Arvid Brorsson
38′
🔁 J. Kiilerich
↦ T. Pettersson
Half-time 1–0
1–0 N. Besara
50′
2–0 N. Besara
H. Skoglund
59′
68′
🔁 A. Manneh
↦ V. Gustafson
68′
🔁 I. Jagne
↦ A. Johansson
P. Vagić 🔁
↦ N. Besara
75′
D. Gül 🔁
↦ B. Touré
76′
F. Hammar 🔁
↦ M. Karlsson
76′
86′
🟨 Colin Rösler
3–0 O. Johansson Schellhas
87′
D. Collander 🔁
↦ O. Johansson Schellhas
90′
D. Teah 🔁
↦ J. Erabi
91′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Hammarby

4-2-3-1
1 W. Hahn G
2 H. Skoglund D
17 I. Fofana D
4 V. Eriksson D
30 S. Pinas D
22 M. Karlsson M
5 T. Tekie M
11 O. Johansson Schellhas M
20 N. Besara M
28 B. Touré M
9 J. Erabi F
Bench (9)
6 P. Vagić
19 D. Gül
8 F. Hammar
14 D. Collander
29 D. Teah
18 Montader Madjed
15 Marc Llinares
21 S. Strand
25 D. Blažević

Coach: K. Hellberg

Mjallby

3-4-3
1 N. Törnqvist G
3 A. Brorsson D
5 C. Rösler D
24 T. Pettersson D
14 H. Johansson M
22 J. Gustavsson M
10 N. Røjkjær M
17 E. Stroud M
7 V. Gustafson F
18 J. Bergström F
16 A. Johansson F
Bench (9)
13 J. Kiilerich
19 A. Manneh
6 I. Jagne
15 L. Svensson
29 I. Johnsson
4 R. Wikström
23 F. Linderoth
35 A. Lundin
27 L. Tidstrand

Coach: A. Torstensson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Klitte · 88 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.