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Superligaen
Referee: L Graagaard
FC Copenhagen
T U S S S
3–2
Full-time
Aarhus
T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Copenhagen Aarhus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,2
This season — Superligaen · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

49% Possession 51%
14 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 4
3 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 4
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match FC Copenhagen 3. · Aarhus 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Randers FC 2 2 0 0 +3 +1.4 6
2 Nordsjaelland 2 1 1 0 +3 +1.1 4
3 FC Copenhagen 1 1 0 0 +2 -0.5 3
4 Silkeborg 2 1 0 1 +0 +1.6 3
5 Aalborg 2 1 0 1 -2 -0.9 3
6 Midtjylland 2 0 2 0 +0 -0.1 2
7 Brondby 1 0 1 0 +0 +1.6 1
8 Aarhus 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Sonderjyske 2 0 1 1 -1 -1.6 1
10 Viborg 2 0 1 1 -2 -1.6 1
11 Lyngby 2 0 1 1 -2 +0.5 1
12 Vejle 1 0 0 1 -1 -1.4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Copenhagen Aarhus
13′
T. Bech 0–1
M. Anderson
1–1 Diogo Gonçalves
27′
32′
M. Madsen 1–2
Half-time 1–2
46′
🔁 J. Jensen-Abbew
↦ E. Kahl
M. Mattsson 🔁
↦ Diogo Gonçalves
53′
V. Froholdt 🔁
↦ J. Larsson
61′
T. Delaney 🔁
↦ V. Claesson
61′
71′
🔁 J. Andersen
↦ G. Links
71′
🔁 S. Haugen
↦ P. Mortensen
2–2 O. Óskarsson
K. Diks
73′
75′
🟨 Felix Beijmo
3–2 T. Delaney
M. Elyounoussi
78′
A. Chiakha 🔁
↦ O. Óskarsson
84′
L. Lerager 🔁
↦ R. Falk
84′
87′
🔁 R. Gyamfi
↦ F. Brandhof
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

FC Copenhagen

4-2-3-1
1 N. Trott G
13 R. Huescas D
2 K. Diks D
4 M. Garan'anga D
24 B. Meling D
7 V. Claesson M
33 R. Falk M
11 J. Larsson M
9 Diogo Gonçalves M
10 M. Elyounoussi M
18 O. Óskarsson F
Bench (9)
8 M. Mattsson
47 V. Froholdt
27 T. Delaney
45 A. Chiakha
12 L. Lerager
38 O. Højer
6 C. Sørensen
31 R. Rúnarsson
3 D. Vavro

Coach: J. Neestrup

Aarhus

4-4-2
1 J. Hansen G
2 F. Beijmo D
3 H. Dalsgaard D
5 F. Tingager D
19 E. Kahl D
8 M. Anderson M
29 F. Brandhof M
7 M. Madsen M
11 G. Links M
31 T. Bech F
9 P. Mortensen F
Bench (9)
40 J. Jensen-Abbew
26 J. Andersen
10 S. Haugen
18 R. Gyamfi
22 L. Wahlstedt
33 L. Callø
21 P. Bjur
23 T. Bach
27 M. Akoto

Coach: U. Rösler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Graagaard · 52 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.