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Superligaen
Referee: J Kehlet
Aalborg
T S S T T
2–1
Full-time
Silkeborg
S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalborg Silkeborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
4,3
3,2
Scored
2,8
1,2
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
3,0
1,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
3,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-3,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%
11 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 11
2 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Aalborg 12. · Silkeborg 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Randers FC 2 2 0 0 +3 +1.4 6
2 Nordsjaelland 2 1 1 0 +3 +1.1 4
3 FC Copenhagen 1 1 0 0 +2 -0.5 3
4 Silkeborg 1 1 0 0 +1 +1.6 3
5 Midtjylland 2 0 2 0 +0 -0.1 2
6 Brondby 1 0 1 0 +0 +1.6 1
7 Aarhus 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Sonderjyske 2 0 1 1 -1 -1.6 1
9 Viborg 2 0 1 1 -2 -1.6 1
10 Lyngby 2 0 1 1 -2 +0.5 1
11 Vejle 1 0 0 1 -1 -1.4 0
12 Aalborg 1 0 0 1 -3 -0.9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalborg Silkeborg
1–0 M. Jørgensen
M. Widell
18′
23′
🔁 M. Larsen
↦ P. Mattsson
Half-time 1–0
A. Jasson 🔁
↦ O. Ross
46′
O. Diakhité 🔁
↦ N. Arnórsson
46′
46′
🔁 R. Orazov
↦ A. Klynge
2–0 M. Højholt
A. Jasson
52′
M. Nielsen 🔁
↦ S. Otoa
68′
M. Jiménez 🔁
↦ K. Davidsen
68′
68′
🔁 M. Freundlich
↦ J. Andersen
69′
🔁 J. Nielsen
↦ T. Adamsen
K. John 🔁
↦ M. Widell
83′
85′
🔁 J. Gammelby
↦ A. Lind
90′
O. Sonne 2–1
M. Brink
Andres Jasson 🟨
91′
94′
🟥 Mark Brink
96′
🟨 Oliver Sonne
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Aalborg

4-2-3-1
1 V. Müller G
20 K. Jørgensen D
4 L. Kramer D
3 S. Otoa D
24 N. Arnórsson D
16 K. Davidsen M
14 M. Højholt M
11 M. Jørgensen M
8 M. Widell M
10 O. Ross M
19 J. Iredale F
Bench (9)
17 A. Jasson
2 O. Diakhité
5 M. Nielsen
6 M. Jiménez
27 K. John
13 B. Pudel
26 R. Thelander
21 M. Bomholt
22 R. de Boer

Coach: M. van Dam

Silkeborg

4-3-2-1
1 N. Larsen G
5 O. Sonne D
25 P. Rödin D
4 Pedro Ganchas D
3 R. Østrøm D
6 P. Mattsson M
14 M. Brink M
8 J. Andersen M
23 T. Adamsen M
21 A. Klynge M
9 A. Lind F
Bench (9)
20 M. Larsen
7 R. Orazov
33 M. Freundlich
36 J. Nielsen
19 J. Gammelby
41 O. Boesen
2 A. Poulsen
22 A. Pyndt
16 J. Pryts

Coach: K. Nielsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Kehlet · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.