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Bundesliga
Referee: T Welz
2–1
Full-time
Schalke 04
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fortuna Dusseldorf Schalke 04
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,5
0,2
Conceded
1,7
2,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-2,5
This season — Bundesliga · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 26%
19%
33%
Points per game
0,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
59%
59%
Both score Ø 54%
59%
48%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
1,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

67% Possession 33%
13 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fortuna Dusseldorf 16. · Schalke 04 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 28 20 4 4 +53 64
2 Dortmund 28 17 6 5 +40 57
3 RB Leipzig 28 15 10 3 +41 55
4 M'gladbach 28 16 5 7 +19 53
5 Leverkusen 28 16 5 7 +17 53
6 Wolfsburg 28 11 9 8 +6 42
7 Freiburg 28 10 8 10 -2 38
8 Schalke 04 27 9 10 8 -10 37
9 Hoffenheim 27 10 6 11 -11 36
10 Hertha 28 9 8 11 -9 35
11 FC Koln 27 10 4 13 -6 34
12 Augsburg 27 8 6 13 -14 30
13 Union Berlin 27 9 3 15 -15 30
14 Ein Frankfurt 27 8 5 14 -8 29
15 Mainz 27 8 3 16 -24 27
16 Fortuna Dusseldorf 27 5 9 13 -23 24
17 Werder Bremen 27 5 7 15 -30 22
18 Paderborn 27 4 6 17 -24 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fortuna Dusseldorf Schalke 04
18′
🟨 G. Burgstaller
45′
🟨 O. Kabak
Half-time 0–0
M. Sobottka 🟨
52′
53′
W. McKennie 0–1
B. Oczipka
M. Sobottka 🔁
↦ A. Bodzek
61′
1–1 R. Hennings
63′
2–1 K. Karaman
68′
M. Suttner 🔁
↦ N. Giesselmann
70′
74′
🔁 D. Caligiuri
↦ A. Kutucu
74′
🔁 G. Burgstaller
↦ M. Gregoritsch
A. Hoffmann 🟨
80′
V. Berisha 🔁
↦ A. Morales
81′
R. Hennings 🔁
↦ S. Skrzybski
81′
85′
🔁 R. Matondo
↦ J. Todibo
A. Bodzek 🟨
93′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Fortuna Dusseldorf

3-5-2
33 Florian Kastenmeier G
5 Kaan Ayhan D
3 Andre Hoffmann D
29 Markus Suttner D
25 Matthias Zimmermann M
22 Kevin Stöger M
31 Marcel Sobottka M
10 Valon Berisha M
15 Erik Thommy M
11 Kenan Karaman F
28 Rouwen Hennings F
Bench (9)
1 Michael Rensing
19 Zanka
39 Jean Zimmer
23 Niko Giesselmann
13 Adam Bodzek
6 Alfredo Morales
7 Oliver Fink
14 Kelvin Ofori
20 Steven Skrzybski

Coach: U. Rösler

Schalke 04

5-4-1
23 Markus Schubert G
20 Jonjoe Kenny D
4 Ozan Kabak D
26 Salif Sané D
5 Matija Nastasić D
24 Bastian Oczipka D
14 Rabbi Matondo M
2 Weston McKennie M
28 Alessandro Schöpf M
18 Daniel Caligiuri M
19 Guido Burgstaller F
Bench (9)
35 Alexander Nübel
3 Juan Miranda
21 Jean-Clair Todibo
31 Timo Becker
37 Levent Mercan
33 Malick Thiaw
11 Michael Gregoritsch
16 Nassim Boujellab
15 Ahmed Kutucu

Coach: D. Wagner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,67
U
3,29
B
2,70
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,96
U2,5
1,85
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Welz · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.