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Bundesliga
Referee: Felix Brych
Schalke 04
U T T U T
0–4
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 Fortuna Dusseldorf
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 31%
26%
35%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
52%
65%
Both score Ø 52%
52%
52%
Average goals
2,6
3,0
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%
7 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 1
1 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 18
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Schalke 04 14. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 24 16 6 2 +31 54
2 Bayern Munich 23 16 3 4 +25 51
3 M'gladbach 23 13 4 6 +17 43
4 RB Leipzig 23 12 6 5 +22 42
5 Wolfsburg 23 11 5 7 +8 38
6 Ein Frankfurt 23 10 7 6 +16 37
7 Leverkusen 23 11 3 9 +6 36
8 Hoffenheim 23 8 10 5 +12 34
9 Werder Bremen 23 8 8 7 +4 32
10 Hertha 23 8 8 7 +2 32
11 Mainz 23 8 6 9 -10 30
12 Fortuna Dusseldorf 23 8 4 11 -15 28
13 Freiburg 23 6 9 8 -4 27
14 Schalke 04 23 6 5 12 -10 23
15 Augsburg 24 5 6 13 -12 21
16 Stuttgart 23 4 4 15 -32 16
17 Hannover 23 3 5 15 -30 14
18 Nurnberg 23 2 7 14 -30 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Schalke 04 Fortuna Dusseldorf
13′
🟨 Marcel Sobottka
Guido Burgstaller 🟨
17′
Mark Uth 🟨
21′
Matija Nastasić 🟨
35′
35′
D. Lukebakio 0–1
41′
🟨 Dawid Kownacki
Half-time 0–1
S. Skrzybski 🔁
↦ M. Nastasić
46′
A. Kutucu 🔁
↦ G. Burgstaller
61′
62′
D. Kownacki 0–2
B. Raman
68′
B. Raman 0–3
D. Lukebakio
71′
🔁 A. Hoffmann
↦ M. Sobottka
Jeffrey Bruma 🟨
73′
76′
🔁 T. Usami
↦ B. Raman
B. Embolo 🔁
↦ M. Uth
77′
84′
D. Kownacki 0–4
86′
🔁 M. Ducksch
↦ D. Lukebakio
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Schalke 04

3-4-3
35 A. Nübel G
27 J. Bruma D
5 M. Nastasić D
17 B. Stambouli D
26 S. Sané D
3 H. Mendyl D
18 D. Caligiuri M
10 N. Bentaleb M
25 A. Harit M
19 G. Burgstaller F
7 M. Uth F
Bench (7)
22 S. Skrzybski
15 A. Kutucu
36 B. Embolo
11 Y. Konoplyanka
1 R. Fährmann
13 S. Rudy
6 Omar Mascarell

Coach: D. Tedesco

Fortuna Dusseldorf

4-1-4-1
1 M. Rensing G
35 M. Kamiński D
23 N. Gießelmann D
5 K. Ayhan D
7 O. Fink M
25 M. Zimmermann M
31 M. Sobottka M
20 D. Lukebakio F
8 A. Barkok M
9 B. Raman M
27 D. Kownacki F
Bench (7)
3 A. Hoffmann
33 T. Usami
10 M. Ducksch
14 M. Suttner
12 J. Theissen
11 K. Karaman
28 R. Hennings

Coach: F. Funkel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Felix Brych · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.