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Bundesliga
Referee: Sven Jablonski
0–2
Full-time
Schalke 04
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fortuna Dusseldorf Schalke 04
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
9 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fortuna Dusseldorf 15. · Schalke 04 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 6 4 2 0 +14 14
2 Werder Bremen 7 4 2 1 +5 14
3 Bayern Munich 6 4 1 1 +7 13
4 Hertha 6 4 1 1 +5 13
5 M'gladbach 6 3 2 1 +3 11
6 RB Leipzig 6 3 2 1 +1 11
7 Wolfsburg 7 2 3 2 -1 9
8 Augsburg 6 2 2 2 +2 8
9 Mainz 6 2 2 2 +0 8
10 Nurnberg 6 2 2 2 -3 8
11 Hoffenheim 6 2 1 3 +0 7
12 Ein Frankfurt 6 2 1 3 +0 7
13 Freiburg 6 2 1 3 -4 7
14 Leverkusen 6 2 0 4 -6 6
15 Fortuna Dusseldorf 6 1 2 3 -4 5
16 Stuttgart 6 1 2 3 -5 5
17 Schalke 04 6 1 0 5 -6 3
18 Hannover 6 0 2 4 -8 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fortuna Dusseldorf Schalke 04
26′
🟨 Hamza Mendyl
Jean Zimmer 🟨
33′
Half-time 0–1
47′
W. McKennie 0–1
S. Serdar
Marcel Sobottka 🟨
51′
53′
G. Burgstaller 0–2
Adam Bodzek 🟨
55′
62′
🔁 M. Uth
↦ S. Serdar
M. Ducksch 🔁
↦ A. Bodzek
63′
T. Usami 🔁
↦ N. Gießelmann
66′
79′
🔁 Y. Konoplyanka
↦ W. McKennie
88′
🔁 B. Embolo
↦ F. Di Santo
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Fortuna Dusseldorf

3-5-2
1 M. Rensing G
13 A. Bodzek M
35 M. Kamiński D
23 N. Gießelmann D
5 K. Ayhan D
6 A. Morales M
25 M. Zimmermann M
39 J. Zimmer M
31 M. Sobottka M
28 R. Hennings F
9 B. Raman M
Bench (7)
10 M. Ducksch
33 T. Usami
12 J. Theissen
16 H. Nielsen
19 D. Lovren
22 K. Stöger
32 R. Bormuth

Coach: F. Funkel

Schalke 04

4-3-1-2
1 R. Fährmann G
29 Naldo D
26 S. Sané D
3 H. Mendyl D
18 D. Caligiuri M
6 Omar Mascarell M
10 N. Bentaleb M
8 S. Serdar M
2 W. McKennie M
19 G. Burgstaller F
9 F. Di Santo F
Bench (7)
7 M. Uth
11 Y. Konoplyanka
36 B. Embolo
5 M. Nastasić
13 S. Rudy
23 C. Teuchert
35 A. Nübel

Coach: D. Tedesco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Sven Jablonski · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,02 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.