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Lommel SK

T S S T T

0–0

Full-time

Mechelen

U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lommel SK Mechelen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,3

3,2

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,3

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,3

3,2

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,3

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

8 Shots 15

0 Shots on target 4

5 Corners 6

12 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lommel SK 12. · Mechelen 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Charleroi	8	7	0	1	+9	+4.5	21
2	St. Gilloise	7	6	1	0	+21	+1.2	19
3	Gent	7	6	1	0	+9	+2.2	19
4	Club Brugge	7	6	0	1	+10	+4.7	18
5	Waregem	6	3	2	1	+6	+1.9	11
6	Standard	7	3	2	2	+1	-0.4	11
7	Anderlecht	6	3	1	2	-1	+2.7	10
8	Genk	6	2	3	1	+4	+5.3	9
9	St Truiden	7	2	3	2	+2	+1.0	9
10	Beveren	6	3	0	3	-3	-4.4	9
11	Antwerp	6	2	1	3	-2	-0.4	7
12	Lommel SK	6	2	1	3	-2	–	7
13	Lommel United	6	2	1	3	-2	-0.5	7
14	Westerlo	7	2	1	4	-7	-4.9	7
15	RAAL La Louviere	7	1	1	5	-7	-3.0	4
16	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	7	1	1	5	-8	-5.3	4
17	Cercle Brugge	8	0	3	5	-7	-0.2	3
18	Mechelen	6	0	2	4	-9	-1.0	2
19	Kortrijk	6	0	0	6	-14	-3.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gent	4	4	0	0	+5	+1.6	12
2	St. Gilloise	4	3	1	0	+13	+0.2	10
3	Club Brugge	3	3	0	0	+6	+3.2	9
4	Beveren	3	3	0	0	+6	+1.2	9
5	Charleroi	4	3	0	1	+4	+3.1	9
6	Genk	3	2	1	0	+5	+5.8	7
7	Standard	3	2	1	0	+3	+1.2	7
8	Anderlecht	3	2	1	0	+2	+2.3	7
9	Waregem	3	2	0	1	+4	+1.8	6
10	St Truiden	4	1	2	1	+1	+0.5	5
11	RAAL La Louviere	3	1	1	1	+2	-0.6	4
12	Antwerp	3	1	1	1	-2	-0.8	4
13	Westerlo	3	1	1	1	-2	-1.0	4
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	4	1	1	2	-2	-1.7	4
15	Lommel SK	3	1	0	2	+2	–	3
16	Lommel United	3	1	0	2	+2	-0.4	3
17	Cercle Brugge	4	0	1	3	-5	+1.7	1
18	Mechelen	3	0	1	2	-5	+1.1	1
19	Kortrijk	3	0	0	3	-7	-0.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Charleroi	4	4	0	0	+5	+1.4	12
2	St. Gilloise	3	3	0	0	+8	+1.0	9
3	Club Brugge	4	3	0	1	+4	+1.5	9
4	Gent	3	2	1	0	+4	+0.6	7
5	Waregem	3	1	2	0	+2	+0.1	5
6	St Truiden	3	1	1	1	+1	+0.5	4
7	Standard	4	1	1	2	-2	-1.6	4
8	Lommel SK	3	1	1	1	-4	–	4
9	Lommel United	3	1	1	1	-4	-0.1	4
10	Antwerp	3	1	0	2	+0	+0.4	3
11	Anderlecht	3	1	0	2	-3	+0.4	3
12	Westerlo	4	1	0	3	-5	-3.9	3
13	Genk	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.5	2
14	Cercle Brugge	4	0	2	2	-2	-1.9	2
15	Mechelen	3	0	1	2	-4	-2.1	1
16	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	0	0	3	-6	-3.6	0
17	Kortrijk	3	0	0	3	-7	-2.5	0
18	Beveren	3	0	0	3	-9	-5.5	0
19	RAAL La Louviere	4	0	0	4	-9	-2.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.