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Bundesliga
Referee: M Schmidt
Schalke 04
T S T T T
1–2
Full-time
Hertha
U U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 Hertha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
2,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 15%
6%
23%
Points per game
0,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
68%
55%
Both score Ø 46%
39%
52%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
0,6
1,2
Conceded
2,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
-1,9
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

45% Possession 55%
12 Shots 17
1 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 7
0 Offside 7
9 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Schalke 04 18. · Hertha 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 32 23 5 4 +52 74
2 RB Leipzig 32 19 7 6 +29 64
3 Wolfsburg 32 17 9 6 +25 60
4 Dortmund 32 18 4 10 +25 58
5 Ein Frankfurt 32 15 12 5 +15 57
6 Leverkusen 32 14 9 9 +16 51
7 M'gladbach 32 12 10 10 +7 46
8 Union Berlin 32 11 13 8 +6 46
9 Freiburg 32 12 8 12 +2 44
10 Stuttgart 32 11 9 12 +2 42
11 Hoffenheim 32 10 9 13 -3 39
12 Mainz 32 9 9 14 -16 36
13 Augsburg 32 9 6 17 -17 33
14 Hertha 31 7 10 14 -11 31
15 Werder Bremen 32 7 10 15 -17 31
16 Bielefeld 32 8 7 17 -28 31
17 FC Koln 32 7 8 17 -27 29
18 Schalke 04 31 2 7 22 -60 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Schalke 04 Hertha
1–0 A. Harit
S. Kolašinac
6′
18′
D. Boyata 1–1
M. Plattenhardt
Amine Harit 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–1
50′
🟨 Vladimír Darida
Shkodran Mustafi 🟨
54′
58′
🔁 S. Ascacíbar
↦ V. Darida
58′
🔁 J. Ngankam
↦ K. Piątek
58′
🔁 D. Lukébakio
↦ M. Leckie
67′
🟨 Dodi Lukebakio
Sead Kolašinac 🟨
68′
68′
🟨 Dedryck Boyata
73′
J. Ngankam 1–2
N. Radonjić
76′
🔁 J. Michelbrink
↦ J. Dilrosun
B. Raman 🔁
↦ K. Huntelaar
77′
S. Skrzybski 🔁
↦ B. Idrizi
77′
88′
🟨 Dodi Lukebakio
88′
🟥 Dodi Lukebakio
Gonçalo Paciência 🔁
↦ T. Becker
89′
89′
🔁 J. Torunarigha
↦ N. Radonjić
90′
🟨 Jonas Michelbrink
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Schalke 04

3-1-4-2
1 R. Fährmann G
24 B. Oczipka D
30 S. Mustafi D
26 S. Sané D
20 S. Kolašinac M
31 T. Becker M
25 A. Harit M
36 B. Idrizi M
41 F. Flick M
21 K. Huntelaar F
43 M. Hoppe F
Bench (8)
9 B. Raman
22 S. Skrzybski
18 Gonçalo Paciência
2 K. Ludewig
23 F. Rønnow
19 B. Ezeh
49 V. Pavlídis
28 A. Schöpf

Coach: D. Grammozis

Hertha

4-2-3-1
1 A. Schwolow G
2 P. Pekarík D
21 M. Plattenhardt D
20 D. Boyata D
14 O. Alderete D
7 M. Leckie M
6 V. Darida M
24 N. Radonjić M
29 L. Tousart M
16 J. Dilrosun M
9 K. Piątek F
Bench (9)
18 S. Ascacíbar
27 J. Ngankam
11 D. Lukébakio
40 J. Michelbrink
25 J. Torunarigha
23 E. Löwen
42 D. Zeefuik
12 N. Körber
5 N. Stark

Coach: P. Dárdai

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
7,00
U
4,67
B ✓
1,45
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,64
U2,5
2,29
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Schmidt · 27 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.