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Pro League
Referee: B Van Driessche
Mechelen
U S S S U
1–2
Full-time
Gent
U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
4,7
4,2
Scored
3,0
3,0
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,8
This season — Pro League · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 50%
51%
49%
Points per game
1,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
78%
62%
Both score Ø 63%
76%
49%
Average goals
3,5
3,1
Scored
2,0
1,9
Conceded
1,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
14 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mechelen 3. · Gent 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 37 24 8 5 +48 80
2 Genk 37 20 11 6 +32 71
3 Mechelen 37 19 9 9 +15 66
4 Antwerp 37 19 9 9 +13 66
5 Gent 37 18 7 12 +29 61
6 Waregem 38 18 4 16 -7 58
7 Beerschot VA 38 16 6 16 -6 54
8 Anderlecht 37 11 20 6 +14 53
9 Oostende 37 15 8 14 +3 53
10 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 38 14 10 14 -2 52
11 Standard 37 13 9 15 -1 48
12 Kortrijk 38 14 6 18 -8 48
13 Eupen 38 11 15 12 -10 48
14 Charleroi 38 11 12 15 -5 45
15 Cercle Brugge 38 14 3 21 -7 45
16 St Truiden 38 11 9 18 -12 42
17 Beveren 36 8 8 20 -29 32
18 Mouscron 34 7 10 17 -22 31
19 Royal Excel Mouscron 34 7 10 17 -22 31
20 Waasland-Beveren 34 8 7 19 -26 31

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Gent
Half-time 0–0
51′
🟨 R. Bezus
K. Mrabti 🟨
53′
57′
R. Bezus 0–1
A. Hanche-Olsen
65′
🔁 Y. Malede
↦ T. Tissoudali
67′
T. Tissoudali 0–2
R. Bezus
1–2 F. Druijf
72′
G. Hairemans 🔁
↦ N. Storm
73′
79′
🔁 R. Yaremchuk
↦ C. Emeka
79′
🔁 V. Odjidja-Ofoe
↦ S. Marreh
79′
🔁 A. Castro-Montes
↦ N. Fortuna
G. Engvall 🔁
84′
G. Engvall 🟨
85′
85′
🟨 B. Godeau
R. Schoofs 🟨
88′
90′
🔁 I. Plastun
91′
🟨 S. Bolat
S. Bateau 🟨
92′
92′
🟨 T. Tissoudali
95′
🟨 S. Kums
95′
🟨 C. Emeka
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Mechelen

4-4-1-1
15 Yannick Thoelen G
29 Issa Kabore D
5 Sandy Walsh D
4 Sheldon Bateau D
3 Lucas Bijker D
7 Geoffry Hairemans M
30 Jordi Vanlerberghe M
16 Rob Schoofs M
19 Kerim Mrabti M
10 Igor De Camargo F
9 Ferdy Druijf F
Bench (7)
28 Arno Valkenaers
14 Siemen Voet
8 Onur Kaya
21 Niklo Dailly
20 Gustav Engvall
11 Nikola Storm
22 Dylan Dassy

Coach: W. Vrancken

Gent

3-4-1-2
1 Sinan Bolat G
21 Andreas Hanche-Olsen D
5 Michael Ngadeu D
31 Bruno Godeau D
19 Matisse Samoise M
24 Sven Kums M
8 Vadis Odjidja-Ofoe M
14 Alessio Castro-Montes M
9 Roman Bezus F
7 Roman Yaremchuk F
23 Yonas Malede F
Bench (7)
33 Davy Roef
32 Igor Plastun
25 Núrio Fortuna
30 Niklas Dorsch
22 Sulayman Marreh
16 Chinonso Emeka
34 Tarik Tissoudali

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,41
U
3,47
B ✓
2,08
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,80
U2,5
2,00
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Van Driessche · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.