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Bundesliga
Referee: R Schröder
Stuttgart
T T S U S
0–5
Full-time
Bayern Munich
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stuttgart Bayern Munich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
1,3
2,3
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 54%
27%
80%
Points per game
1,1
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 74%
60%
87%
Both score Ø 73%
73%
73%
Average goals
3,1
4,2
Scored
1,5
3,1
Conceded
1,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+2,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

43% Possession 57%
13 Shots 25
1 Shots on target 12
4 Blocked shots 5
7 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 3
5 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stuttgart 15. · Bayern Munich 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 15 12 1 2 +31 37
2 Dortmund 15 10 1 4 +13 31
3 Leverkusen 15 8 3 4 +13 27
4 Hoffenheim 15 8 2 5 +9 26
5 Freiburg 15 7 4 4 +11 25
6 Union Berlin 15 6 5 4 +1 23
7 RB Leipzig 15 6 3 6 +10 21
8 Mainz 15 6 3 6 +5 21
9 Ein Frankfurt 15 5 6 4 +1 21
10 Bochum 15 6 2 7 -7 20
11 Wolfsburg 15 6 2 7 -7 20
12 FC Koln 15 4 7 4 -2 19
13 M'gladbach 15 5 3 7 -9 18
14 Hertha 15 5 3 7 -12 18
15 Stuttgart 15 4 5 6 -3 17
16 Augsburg 15 4 4 7 -9 16
17 Bielefeld 15 1 7 7 -12 10
18 Greuther Furth 15 1 1 13 -33 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stuttgart Bayern Munich
27′
🔁 L. Sané
↦ K. Coman
40′
S. Gnabry 0–1
L. Sané
Half-time 0–2
53′
S. Gnabry 0–2
T. Müller
55′
🟨 Alphonso Davies
C. Führich 🔁
↦ P. Förster
63′
S. Katompa Mvumpa 🔁
↦ T. Coulibaly
63′
Atakan Karazor 🟨
64′
69′
R. Lewandowski 0–3
S. Gnabry
72′
R. Lewandowski 0–4
S. Gnabry
74′
S. Gnabry 0–5
W. Faghir 🔁
↦ O. Mangala
75′
75′
🔁 M. Tillman
↦ S. Gnabry
75′
🔁 T. Nianzou
↦ Marc Roca
78′
🔁 O. Richards
↦ A. Davies
78′
🔁 M. Cuisance
↦ T. Müller
A. Tibidi 🔁
↦ Omar Marmoush
84′
Full-time 0–5

Line-ups

Stuttgart

3-1-4-2
1 F. Müller G
4 M. Kempf D
16 A. Karazor M
2 W. Anton D
5 K. Mavropanos D
37 H. Ito M
3 W. Endo M
20 P. Förster F
23 O. Mangala M
7 T. Coulibaly M
17 Omar Marmoush F
Bench (9)
22 C. Führich
14 S. Katompa Mvumpa
19 W. Faghir
50 A. Tibidi
31 M. Klimowicz
15 P. Stenzel
42 F. Schock
10 D. Didavi
32 N. Ahamada

Coach: P. Matarazzo

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
1 M. Neuer G
4 N. Süle D
21 L. Hernández D
5 B. Pavard D
19 A. Davies D
7 S. Gnabry M
22 Marc Roca M
42 J. Musiala M
25 T. Müller M
9 R. Lewandowski F
11 K. Coman M
Bench (9)
10 L. Sané
40 M. Tillman
23 T. Nianzou
3 O. Richards
17 M. Cuisance
2 D. Upamecano
26 S. Ulreich
36 C. Früchtl
20 B. Sarr

Coach: J. Nagelsmann

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
9,55
U
6,36
B ✓
1,29
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,37
U2,5
3,13
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Schröder · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.