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Bundesliga

Referee: D Schlager

Bayern Munich

U T S S S

4–0

Full-time

Stuttgart

U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich Stuttgart

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

4,3

3,3

Scored

2,8

2,0

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,7

This season — Bundesliga · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 54%

72%

36%

Points per game

2,3

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

84%

56%

Both score Ø 76%

80%

72%

Average goals

4,4

3,4

Scored

3,0

1,9

Conceded

1,4

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,6

+0,4

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

42% Possession 58%

15 Shots 12

7 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 6

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bayern Munich 1. · Stuttgart 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	25	18	4	3	+39	58
2	RB Leipzig	26	17	6	3	+27	57
3	Wolfsburg	25	13	9	3	+22	48
4	Ein Frankfurt	25	11	11	3	+14	44
5	Dortmund	25	13	3	9	+17	42
6	Leverkusen	25	11	7	7	+15	40
7	Union Berlin	25	9	11	5	+11	38
8	Stuttgart	25	9	9	7	+10	36
9	Freiburg	25	9	7	9	-2	34
10	M'gladbach	25	8	9	8	+1	33
11	Hoffenheim	25	8	6	11	-4	30
12	Werder Bremen	25	7	9	9	-6	30
13	Augsburg	25	8	5	12	-11	29
14	FC Koln	25	5	7	13	-21	22
15	Bielefeld	26	6	4	16	-25	22
16	Hertha	25	5	6	14	-17	21
17	Mainz	25	5	6	14	-20	21
18	Schalke 04	25	1	7	17	-50	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	13	10	2	1	+15	32
2	Bayern Munich	12	9	3	0	+28	30
3	Wolfsburg	12	8	4	0	+16	28
4	Ein Frankfurt	12	6	6	0	+9	24
5	Dortmund	12	7	2	3	+13	23
6	Union Berlin	13	5	7	1	+10	22
7	Leverkusen	13	5	4	4	+6	19
8	Freiburg	13	5	4	4	+4	19
9	M'gladbach	13	5	4	4	+4	19
10	Hoffenheim	12	5	2	5	+5	17
11	Stuttgart	12	3	6	3	+4	15
12	Augsburg	13	4	3	6	-6	15
13	Werder Bremen	12	3	4	5	-5	13
14	Bielefeld	14	4	1	9	-12	13
15	Mainz	13	3	2	8	-9	11
16	Hertha	12	3	2	7	-11	11
17	FC Koln	12	1	4	7	-9	7
18	Schalke 04	13	1	3	9	-18	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	13	9	1	3	+11	28
2	RB Leipzig	13	7	4	2	+12	25
3	Leverkusen	12	6	3	3	+9	21
4	Stuttgart	13	6	3	4	+6	21
5	Wolfsburg	13	5	5	3	+6	20
6	Ein Frankfurt	13	5	5	3	+5	20
7	Dortmund	13	6	1	6	+4	19
8	Werder Bremen	13	4	5	4	-1	17
9	Union Berlin	12	4	4	4	+1	16
10	Freiburg	12	4	3	5	-6	15
11	FC Koln	13	4	3	6	-12	15
12	M'gladbach	12	3	5	4	-3	14
13	Augsburg	12	4	2	6	-5	14
14	Hoffenheim	13	3	4	6	-9	13
15	Hertha	13	2	4	7	-6	10
16	Mainz	12	2	4	6	-11	10
17	Bielefeld	12	2	3	7	-13	9
18	Schalke 04	12	0	4	8	-32	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.