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Bundesliga

Referee: Frank Willenborg

Bayern Munich

S S S S S

4–1

Full-time

Stuttgart

T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich Stuttgart

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

2,7

1,0

Conceded

0,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

+2,3

-1,0

This season — Bundesliga · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 45%

67%

22%

Points per game

2,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

72%

61%

Both score Ø 45%

56%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,9

Scored

2,2

0,8

Conceded

1,1

2,1

Goal diff per game

+1,1

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

71% Possession 29%

19 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 1

6 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bayern Munich 3. · Stuttgart 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	19	15	3	1	+31	48
2	M'gladbach	19	12	3	4	+21	39
3	Bayern Munich	18	12	3	3	+20	39
4	Ein Frankfurt	19	9	4	6	+13	31
5	RB Leipzig	18	9	4	5	+13	31
6	Hoffenheim	19	7	7	5	+9	28
7	Hertha	19	7	7	5	+1	28
8	Wolfsburg	19	8	4	7	+1	28
9	Leverkusen	19	8	3	8	-1	27
10	Mainz	19	7	6	6	-3	27
11	Werder Bremen	19	7	5	7	+0	26
12	Schalke 04	19	6	4	9	-3	22
13	Freiburg	19	5	6	8	-8	21
14	Fortuna Dusseldorf	18	6	3	9	-13	21
15	Augsburg	19	3	6	10	-7	15
16	Stuttgart	18	4	2	12	-24	14
17	Hannover	19	2	5	12	-23	11
18	Nurnberg	19	2	5	12	-27	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	10	9	1	0	+22	28
2	M'gladbach	9	9	0	0	+22	27
3	RB Leipzig	10	7	2	1	+17	23
4	Ein Frankfurt	9	5	1	3	+10	16
5	Hertha	9	4	4	1	+3	16
6	Mainz	10	4	4	2	+2	16
7	Bayern Munich	8	4	3	1	+5	15
8	Hoffenheim	10	3	4	3	+3	13
9	Freiburg	10	3	4	3	+0	13
10	Werder Bremen	10	3	4	3	-1	13
11	Leverkusen	9	4	1	4	-2	13
12	Schalke 04	9	4	0	5	-1	12
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	4	0	5	-1	12
14	Wolfsburg	10	3	3	4	-4	12
15	Stuttgart	9	3	1	5	-10	10
16	Nurnberg	10	2	3	5	-4	9
17	Augsburg	9	1	4	4	-2	7
18	Hannover	9	2	1	6	-8	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	10	8	0	2	+15	24
2	Dortmund	9	6	2	1	+9	20
3	Wolfsburg	9	5	1	3	+5	16
4	Hoffenheim	9	4	3	2	+6	15
5	Ein Frankfurt	10	4	3	3	+3	15
6	Leverkusen	10	4	2	4	+1	14
7	Werder Bremen	9	4	1	4	+1	13
8	M'gladbach	10	3	3	4	-1	12
9	Hertha	10	3	3	4	-2	12
10	Mainz	9	3	2	4	-5	11
11	Schalke 04	10	2	4	4	-2	10
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	2	3	4	-12	9
13	RB Leipzig	8	2	2	4	-4	8
14	Augsburg	10	2	2	6	-5	8
15	Freiburg	9	2	2	5	-8	8
16	Stuttgart	9	1	1	7	-14	4
17	Hannover	10	0	4	6	-15	4
18	Nurnberg	9	0	2	7	-23	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.