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Bundesliga
Referee: B Brand
Stuttgart
U T T T S
2–2
Full-time
Hertha
S T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stuttgart Hertha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 27%
23%
31%
Points per game
1,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
62%
62%
Both score Ø 70%
77%
62%
Average goals
3,2
3,1
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
1,8
2,1
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

54% Possession 46%
10 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 5
5 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stuttgart 15. · Hertha 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 14 11 1 2 +30 34
2 Dortmund 14 10 0 4 +13 30
3 Leverkusen 14 8 3 3 +16 27
4 Hoffenheim 14 7 2 5 +8 23
5 Union Berlin 14 6 5 3 +2 23
6 Freiburg 13 6 4 3 +6 22
7 Mainz 14 6 3 5 +6 21
8 Wolfsburg 14 6 2 6 -5 20
9 FC Koln 14 4 7 3 +0 19
10 Bochum 14 6 1 7 -7 19
11 RB Leipzig 14 5 3 6 +7 18
12 M'gladbach 13 5 3 5 +0 18
13 Ein Frankfurt 14 4 6 4 -2 18
14 Hertha 13 4 2 7 -14 14
15 Stuttgart 13 3 4 6 -5 13
16 Augsburg 14 3 4 7 -11 13
17 Bielefeld 14 1 7 6 -10 10
18 Greuther Furth 14 0 1 13 -34 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stuttgart Hertha
1–0 Omar Marmoush
W. Anton
15′
2–0 P. Förster
H. Al Ghaddioui
19′
35′
ℹ️ Ishak Belfodil
VAR: Goal confirmed
40′
S. Jovetić 2–1
J. Torunarigha
Half-time 2–1
A. Tibidi 🔁
↦ R. Massimo
46′
63′
🔁 J. Ekkelenkamp
↦ M. Maolida
S. Katompa Mvumpa 🔁
↦ H. Al Ghaddioui
64′
72′
🔁 K. Boateng
↦ J. Torunarigha
72′
🔁 N. Stark
↦ M. Richter
A. Karazor 🔁
↦ O. Mangala
75′
76′
S. Jovetić 2–2
I. Belfodil
85′
🔁 K. Piątek
↦ I. Belfodil
91′
🟨 Kevin-Prince Boateng
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Stuttgart

3-5-2
1 F. Müller G
2 W. Anton D
24 B. Sosa M
5 K. Mavropanos D
37 H. Ito D
3 W. Endo M
20 P. Förster M
23 O. Mangala M
30 R. Massimo M
18 H. Al Ghaddioui F
17 Omar Marmoush F
Bench (9)
50 A. Tibidi
14 S. Katompa Mvumpa
16 A. Karazor
15 P. Stenzel
42 F. Schock
28 N. Nartey
21 P. Klement
7 T. Coulibaly
31 M. Klimowicz

Coach: P. Matarazzo

Hertha

4-4-2
1 A. Schwolow G
2 P. Pekarík D
21 M. Plattenhardt D
4 D. Boyata D
25 J. Torunarigha D
6 V. Darida M
18 S. Ascacíbar M
19 S. Jovetić F
14 I. Belfodil F
23 M. Richter M
11 M. Maolida M
Bench (9)
10 J. Ekkelenkamp
27 K. Boateng
5 N. Stark
9 K. Piątek
17 M. Mittelstädt
7 D. Selke
32 O. Christensen
44 L. Gechter
42 D. Zeefuik

Coach: T. Korkut

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,27
U ✓
3,36
B
3,28
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,97
U2,5
1,86
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Brand · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.