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Bundesliga
Referee: F Brych
Augsburg
T U T T U
0–1
Full-time
Bochum
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Augsburg Bochum
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
4,7
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
2,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,2
This season — Bundesliga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 25%
29%
21%
Points per game
1,1
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
64%
79%
Both score Ø 57%
64%
50%
Average goals
3,1
3,5
Scored
1,3
0,9
Conceded
1,8
2,6
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
19 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 2
2 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Augsburg 14. · Bochum 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 14 9 4 1 +34 31
2 Union Berlin 14 8 3 3 +7 27
3 Freiburg 14 8 3 3 +5 27
4 Ein Frankfurt 14 8 2 4 +8 26
5 RB Leipzig 14 7 4 3 +8 25
6 Dortmund 15 8 1 6 +4 25
7 M'gladbach 15 6 4 5 +4 22
8 Werder Bremen 14 6 3 5 -1 21
9 Wolfsburg 14 5 5 4 +3 20
10 Hoffenheim 14 5 3 6 +1 18
11 Mainz 14 5 3 6 -5 18
12 FC Koln 14 4 5 5 -6 17
13 Leverkusen 14 4 3 7 -3 15
14 Augsburg 14 4 3 7 -7 15
15 Stuttgart 14 3 5 6 -7 14
16 Hertha 14 2 5 7 -5 11
17 Bochum 14 3 1 10 -23 10
18 Schalke 04 14 2 3 9 -17 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Augsburg Bochum
R. Vargas 🔁
↦ J. Gouweleeuw
27′
A. Maier 🔁
↦ C. Gruezo
30′
Half-time 0–1
58′
C. Antwi-Adjei 0–1
K. Stafylidis
64′
🔁 P. Förster
↦ S. Zoller
73′
🔁 J. Osei-Tutu
↦ C. Antwi-Adjei
73′
🔁 P. Osterhage
↦ K. Stafylidis
M. Bauer 🔁
↦ R. Oxford
76′
J. Baumgartlinger 🔁
↦ E. Rexhbeçaj
76′
L. Petkov 🔁
↦ R. Vargas
77′
82′
🔁 E. Mašović
↦ K. Stöger
82′
🔁 S. Janko
↦ C. Gamboa
Mergim Berisha 🟨
91′
91′
🟨 Jordi Osei-Tutu
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Augsburg

3-4-3
1 R. Gikiewicz G
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
4 R. Oxford D
19 F. Uduokhai D
2 R. Gumny M
8 C. Gruezo M
13 E. Rexhbeçaj M
22 Iago M
7 F. Niederlechner F
11 M. Berisha F
9 E. Demirović F
Bench (9)
16 R. Vargas
10 A. Maier
23 M. Bauer
14 J. Baumgartlinger
21 L. Petkov
26 F. Winther
24 F. Jensen
20 D. Caligiuri
40 T. Koubek

Coach: E. Maaßen

Bochum

4-3-3
1 M. Riemann G
2 C. Gamboa D
24 V. Lampropoulos D
20 I. Ordets D
3 Danilo Soares D
7 K. Stöger M
8 A. Losilla M
16 K. Stafylidis M
9 S. Zoller F
33 P. Hofmann F
22 C. Antwi-Adjei F
Bench (9)
10 P. Förster
18 J. Osei-Tutu
6 P. Osterhage
4 E. Mašović
23 S. Janko
38 J. Horn
35 S. Ganvoula
21 M. Esser
17 G. Holtmann

Coach: T. Letsch

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,18
U
3,55
B ✓
3,25
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,72
U2,5 ✓
2,14
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Brych · 113 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.