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Bundesliga
Referee: P Ittrich
Hoffenheim
T T T S T
3–2
Full-time
Bochum
S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hoffenheim Bochum
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,8
3,8
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
3,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
3,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

59% Possession 41%
24 Shots 11
13 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 9
8 Corners 2
2 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hoffenheim 15. · Bochum 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 2 2 0 0 +3 6
2 Bayern Munich 1 1 0 0 +5 3
3 Freiburg 2 1 0 1 +2 3
4 FC Koln 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 M'gladbach 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Union Berlin 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Mainz 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Wolfsburg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Werder Bremen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Stuttgart 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 RB Leipzig 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Bochum 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Leverkusen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Schalke 04 1 0 0 1 -2 0
15 Hoffenheim 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Hertha 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Augsburg 1 0 0 1 -4 0
18 Ein Frankfurt 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hoffenheim Bochum
10′
S. Zoller 0–1
P. Hofmann
13′
S. Zoller 0–2
K. Stöger
1–2 C. Baumgartner
14′
2–2 O. Kabak
D. Geiger
23′
Half-time 2–2
K. Akpoguma 🔁
↦ S. Nsoki
46′
P. Kadeřábek 🔁
↦ K. Vogt
51′
58′
🟨 Anthony Losilla
G. Rutter 🔁
↦ J. Bruun Larsen
62′
S. Rudy 🔁
↦ D. Geiger
62′
Kevin Akpoguma 🟨
67′
72′
🔁 V. Lampropoulos
↦ D. Heintz
M. Dabbur 🔁
↦ C. Baumgartner
75′
76′
🔁 E. Mašović
↦ J. Osei-Tutu
76′
🔁 P. Förster
↦ T. Asano
3–2 M. Dabbur
S. Rudy
88′
89′
🔁 S. Ganvoula
↦ C. Gamboa
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Hoffenheim

3-5-2
1 O. Baumann G
5 O. Kabak D
22 K. Vogt D
34 S. Nsoki D
29 R. Skov M
6 G. Prömel M
8 D. Geiger M
14 C. Baumgartner M
11 Angeliño M
7 J. Bruun Larsen F
27 A. Kramarić F
Bench (9)
25 K. Akpoguma
3 P. Kadeřábek
33 G. Rutter
16 S. Rudy
10 M. Dabbur
35 M. Damar
37 L. Philipp
18 D. Samassékou
39 T. Bischof

Coach: A. Breitenreiter

Bochum

3-4-1-2
1 M. Riemann G
2 C. Gamboa D
20 I. Ordets D
30 D. Heintz D
18 J. Osei-Tutu M
7 K. Stöger M
8 A. Losilla M
23 S. Janko M
11 T. Asano F
33 P. Hofmann F
9 S. Zoller F
Bench (7)
24 V. Lampropoulos
4 E. Mašović
10 P. Förster
35 S. Ganvoula
14 T. Oermann
21 M. Esser
25 M. Tolba

Coach: T. Reis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,58
U
4,47
B
5,38
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,51
U2,5
2,59
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Ittrich · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.