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Premier League

Referee: S Attwell

Man City

U S S T S

3–0

Full-time

Everton

U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man City Everton

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,5

This season — Premier League · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 50%

64%

36%

Points per game

2,1

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

36%

55%

Both score Ø 37%

18%

55%

Average goals

2,5

2,9

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

0,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

77% Possession 23%

17 Shots 4

7 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 1

0 Offside 2

5 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Man City 3. · Everton 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chelsea	12	9	2	1	+26	29
2	Liverpool	12	7	4	1	+24	25
3	Man City	11	7	2	2	+16	23
4	West Ham	12	7	2	3	+9	23
5	Arsenal	12	6	2	4	-4	20
6	Wolves	12	6	1	5	+0	19
7	Man United	12	5	2	5	-1	17
8	Brighton	12	4	5	3	-2	17
9	Crystal Palace	12	3	7	2	+1	16
10	Tottenham	11	5	1	5	-7	16
11	Everton	11	4	3	4	+0	15
12	Leicester	12	4	3	5	-5	15
13	Southampton	12	3	5	4	-3	14
14	Brentford	12	3	4	5	-1	13
15	Watford	12	4	1	7	-4	13
16	Aston Villa	12	4	1	7	-4	13
17	Leeds	11	2	5	4	-7	11
18	Burnley	12	1	6	5	-6	9
19	Norwich	12	2	2	8	-20	8
20	Newcastle	12	0	6	6	-12	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chelsea	6	4	1	1	+14	13
2	Arsenal	6	4	1	1	+4	13
3	Liverpool	6	3	3	0	+9	12
4	Man City	5	3	1	1	+10	10
5	Crystal Palace	6	2	4	0	+5	10
6	West Ham	6	3	1	2	+3	10
7	Aston Villa	6	3	1	2	+3	10
8	Everton	6	3	1	2	+2	10
9	Southampton	6	2	3	1	+1	9
10	Wolves	6	3	0	3	-1	9
11	Tottenham	5	3	0	2	-3	9
12	Brighton	6	2	2	2	-2	8
13	Man United	6	2	1	3	-1	7
14	Leicester	6	2	1	3	-3	7
15	Watford	6	2	1	3	-4	7
16	Burnley	6	1	3	2	+0	6
17	Leeds	6	1	3	2	-3	6
18	Brentford	6	1	1	4	-2	4
19	Norwich	6	1	1	4	-6	4
20	Newcastle	6	0	3	3	-6	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chelsea	6	5	1	0	+12	16
2	Liverpool	6	4	1	1	+15	13
3	West Ham	6	4	1	1	+6	13
4	Man City	6	4	1	1	+6	13
5	Wolves	6	3	1	2	+1	10
6	Man United	6	3	1	2	+0	10
7	Brentford	6	2	3	1	+1	9
8	Brighton	6	2	3	1	+0	9
9	Leicester	6	2	2	2	-2	8
10	Tottenham	6	2	1	3	-4	7
11	Arsenal	6	2	1	3	-8	7
12	Watford	6	2	0	4	+0	6
13	Crystal Palace	6	1	3	2	-4	6
14	Everton	5	1	2	2	-2	5
15	Southampton	6	1	2	3	-4	5
16	Leeds	5	1	2	2	-4	5
17	Norwich	6	1	1	4	-14	4
18	Burnley	6	0	3	3	-6	3
19	Newcastle	6	0	3	3	-6	3
20	Aston Villa	6	1	0	5	-7	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.