Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Stuttgart
St Pauli
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern Munich
|
15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | +34 | +25.6 | 36 |
| 2 |
Leverkusen
|
14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | +12 | +10.7 | 29 |
| 3 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +14 | +4.2 | 27 |
| 4 |
RB Leipzig
|
15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | +4 | -2.7 | 27 |
| 5 |
Freiburg
|
14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | +1 | +5.5 | 24 |
| 6 |
Stuttgart
|
14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | +5 | +6.1 | 23 |
| 7 |
Mainz
|
14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +6 | +1.2 | 22 |
| 8 |
Dortmund
|
14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +4 | +2.8 | 22 |
| 9 |
Werder Bremen
|
14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | -2 | -0.4 | 22 |
| 10 |
Wolfsburg
|
14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | +6 | -2.4 | 21 |
| 11 |
M'gladbach
|
14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | +4 | +3.6 | 21 |
| 12 |
Union Berlin
|
14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | -2 | -2.7 | 17 |
| 13 |
Augsburg
|
14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | -11 | -4.8 | 16 |
| 14 |
Hoffenheim
|
14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -7 | -9.2 | 14 |
| 15 |
St Pauli
|
14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -8 | -6.2 | 11 |
| 16 |
Heidenheim
|
14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | -13 | -3.7 | 10 |
| 17 |
Holstein Kiel
|
14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | -23 | -11.8 | 5 |
| 18 |
Bochum
|
14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | -24 | -15.6 | 3 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
A. Nübel
G
A. Rouault
D
J. Chabot
D
M. Mittelstädt
D
J. Vagnoman
M
Y. Keitel
M
A. Stiller
M
C. Führich
M
N. Woltemade
F
E. Demirović
F
Coach: S. Hoeneß
D. Nemeth
D
H. Wahl
D
L. Ritzka
D
M. Saliakas
M
C. Boukhalfa
M
P. Treu
M
J. Eggestein
F
O. Afolayan
F
Coach: A. Blessin
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Heidenheim
Stuttgart
Stuttgart
Young Boys
Stuttgart
Union Berlin
Regensburg
Stuttgart
Werder Bremen
Stuttgart
F Brych · 113 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.