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2. Bundesliga
Referee: T Gerach
Hamburg
T U S U U
5–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Greuther Furth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 35%
38%
31%
Points per game
1,6
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
75%
63%
Both score Ø 72%
81%
63%
Average goals
3,6
3,3
Scored
2,1
1,5
Conceded
1,4
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

53% Possession 47%
14 Shots 5
9 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hamburg 9. · Greuther Furth 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Elversberg 17 8 4 5 +9 28
2 FC Koln 16 8 4 4 +8 28
3 Magdeburg 17 7 7 3 +6 28
4 Paderborn 16 7 7 2 +6 28
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 17 7 5 5 +5 26
6 Hannover 16 8 2 6 +5 26
7 Kaiserslautern 16 7 5 4 +4 26
8 Karlsruhe 16 7 5 4 +2 26
9 Hamburg 16 6 7 3 +11 25
10 Darmstadt 16 6 6 4 +8 24
11 Hertha 16 6 3 7 +0 21
12 Schalke 04 17 5 5 7 -1 20
13 Greuther Furth 16 5 5 6 -4 20
14 Nurnberg 16 5 4 7 +0 19
15 Preußen Münster 16 3 6 7 -5 15
16 Ulm 16 2 7 7 -4 13
17 Braunschweig 16 3 4 9 -19 13
18 Regensburg 16 2 2 12 -31 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hamburg Greuther Furth
1–0 D. Hadžikadunić
M. Muheim
1′
2–0 D. Selke
J. Dompé
11′
3–0 A. Karabec
M. Muheim
13′
Immanuel Pherai 🟨
24′
35′
🟨 Marlon Mustapha
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 D. Srbeny
↦ J. Green
46′
🔁 R. Massimo
↦ M. Mustapha
Dennis Hadžikadunić 🟨
54′
4–0 D. Selke
W. Mikelbrencis
59′
Ł. Poręba 🔁
↦ I. Pherai
65′
N. Katterbach 🔁
↦ E. Sahiti
65′
69′
🔁 P. Müller
↦ S. Bansé
O. Stange 🔁
↦ D. Selke
74′
A. Suhonen 🔁
↦ J. Meffert
74′
5–0 O. Stange
A. Suhonen
76′
M. Richter 🔁
↦ A. Karabec
81′
81′
🔁 R. Münz
↦ N. Gießelmann
81′
🔁 D. Michalski
↦ N. Futkeu
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Hamburg

4-1-4-1
1 Daniel Heuer Fernandes G
2 W. Mikelbrencis D
5 D. Hadžikadunić D
4 S. Schonlau D
28 M. Muheim D
23 J. Meffert M
29 E. Sahiti M
17 A. Karabec M
10 I. Pherai M
7 J. Dompé M
27 D. Selke F
Bench (9)
6 Ł. Poręba
33 N. Katterbach
49 O. Stange
36 A. Suhonen
20 M. Richter
12 T. Mickel
24 L. Perrin
30 S. Hefti
18 B. Jatta

Coach: M. Polzin

Greuther Furth

3-4-2-1
42 M. Schulze G
18 M. Meyerhöfer D
23 G. Jung D
33 M. Dietz D
2 S. Asta M
6 S. Bansé M
37 J. Green M
17 N. Gießelmann M
10 B. Hrgota F
9 N. Futkeu F
8 M. Mustapha F
Bench (9)
7 D. Srbeny
11 R. Massimo
36 P. Müller
5 R. Münz
4 D. Michalski
19 M. Wagner
22 Nemanja Motika
43 S. Prüfrock
27 G. Itter

Coach: J. Siewert

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,58
U
4,36
B
4,97
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,51
U2,5
2,48
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Gerach · 55 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.