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La Liga
Referee: Javier Estrada
Ath Bilbao
T S T S U
2–0
Full-time
Sociedad
S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Sociedad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,5
1,5
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

39% Possession 61%
15 Shots 2
5 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 0
2 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Bilbao 5. · Sociedad 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sevilla 3 2 1 0 +3 7
2 Ath Madrid 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Real Madrid 2 1 1 0 +2 4
4 Valladolid 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 Ath Bilbao 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Sociedad 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Osasuna 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Alaves 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Celta 3 1 1 1 -1 4
10 Barcelona 2 1 0 1 +2 3
11 Mallorca 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Levante 2 1 0 1 +0 3
13 Villarreal 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Granada 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Valencia 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Eibar 2 0 1 1 -1 1
17 Getafe 2 0 1 1 -1 1
18 Espanol 2 0 1 1 -2 1
19 Leganes 2 0 0 2 -2 0
20 Betis 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Bilbao Sociedad
1–0 Williams
Capa
11′
13′
🟨 Joseba Zaldúa
2–0 Raúl García
Iñigo Córdoba
28′
Raúl García 🟨
36′
37′
🔁 Portu
↦ Illarramendi
45′
🟨 Portu
Half-time 2–0
55′
🔁 A. Isak
↦ Willian José
Beñat 🔁
↦ Unai López
67′
Íñigo Córdoba 🟨
72′
Ibai Gómez 🔁
↦ Iñigo Córdoba
74′
78′
🔁 Sangalli
↦ A. Januzaj
86′
🟨 Alexander Isak
Aduriz 🔁
↦ Williams
86′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Ath Bilbao

4-2-3-1
1 Unai Simon G
21 Ander Capa D
5 Yeray Álvarez D
4 Iñigo Martínez D
17 Yuri Berchiche D
8 Unai López M
14 Dani García M
10 Iker Muniain M
22 Raúl García M
11 Íñigo Córdoba M
9 Iñaki Williams F
Bench (7)
13 Iago Herrerín
3 Unai Núñez
24 Mikel Balenziaga
12 Gaizka Larrazabal
19 Ibai Gómez
7 Beñat Etxebarria
20 Aritz Aduriz

Coach: Gaizka Garitano

Sociedad

4-3-3
13 Miguel Ángel Moyà G
2 Joseba Zaldúa D
5 Igor Zubeldia D
3 Diego Llorente D
12 Aihen Muñoz D
21 Martin Ødegaard M
4 Asier Illarramendi M
8 Mikel Merino M
11 Adnan Januzaj F
9 Willian José F
10 Mikel Oyarzabal F
Bench (7)
1 Álex Remiro
18 Andoni Gorosabel
24 Robin Le Normand
17 David Zurutuza
23 Luca Sangalli
19 Alexander Isak
7 Portu

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,33
U
3,07
B
3,45
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,45
U2,5 ✓
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Javier Estrada · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.