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Pro League

Referee: Jasper Vergoote

Mechelen

S U S T U

2–2

Full-time

Royal Excel Mouscron

S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Royal Excel Mouscron

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,3

This season — Pro League · 6/5 matches

Win Ø 55%

50%

60%

Points per game

1,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

67%

40%

Both score Ø 54%

67%

40%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

53% Possession 47%

8 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 7

1 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mechelen 5. · Royal Excel Mouscron 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Standard	6	5	0	1	+12	15
2	Club Brugge	5	4	1	0	+12	13
3	Antwerp	5	4	0	1	+10	12
4	Genk	6	4	0	2	+6	12
5	Mechelen	6	3	2	1	+5	11
6	Mouscron	6	3	2	1	+1	11
7	Royal Excel Mouscron	5	3	1	1	+1	10
8	Oostende	5	3	0	2	+0	9
9	Gent	5	2	1	2	+5	7
10	Kortrijk	5	2	1	2	+2	7
11	Waregem	5	2	1	2	-2	7
12	Cercle Brugge	6	2	0	4	-6	6
13	Charleroi	4	1	2	1	-1	5
14	St Truiden	6	1	1	4	-9	4
15	Anderlecht	6	0	3	3	-4	3
16	Eupen	7	0	3	4	-12	3
17	Waasland-Beveren	5	0	1	4	-10	1
18	Beveren	5	0	1	4	-10	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Standard	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Antwerp	3	3	0	0	+8	9
3	Mechelen	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Mouscron	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Royal Excel Mouscron	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Gent	2	2	0	0	+7	6
7	Oostende	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Genk	3	2	0	1	+0	6
9	Cercle Brugge	4	2	0	2	-2	6
10	Club Brugge	2	1	1	0	+6	4
11	Kortrijk	2	1	1	0	+2	4
12	Charleroi	2	1	1	0	+1	4
13	St Truiden	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Waregem	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Eupen	3	0	2	1	-3	2
16	Anderlecht	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Waasland-Beveren	2	0	0	2	-6	0
18	Beveren	2	0	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Genk	3	2	0	1	+6	6
3	Mechelen	3	1	1	1	+1	4
4	Mouscron	3	1	1	1	-2	4
5	Waregem	3	1	1	1	-2	4
6	Antwerp	2	1	0	1	+2	3
7	Standard	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Kortrijk	3	1	0	2	+0	3
9	Oostende	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Royal Excel Mouscron	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Anderlecht	4	0	2	2	-3	2
12	Gent	3	0	1	2	-2	1
13	Charleroi	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Waasland-Beveren	3	0	1	2	-4	1
15	Beveren	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Eupen	4	0	1	3	-9	1
17	Cercle Brugge	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	St Truiden	2	0	0	2	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.