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La Liga
Referee: David Fernandez Borbalan
Ath Bilbao
T U U U S
0–0
Full-time
Sociedad
S U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Sociedad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
This season — La Liga · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 30%
27%
33%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
40%
73%
Both score Ø 60%
47%
73%
Average goals
2,3
3,7
Scored
1,1
1,9
Conceded
1,3
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

38% Possession 62%
7 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 6
3 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Bilbao 14. · Sociedad 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 15 12 3 0 +31 39
2 Valencia 15 10 4 1 +21 34
3 Ath Madrid 15 9 6 0 +17 33
4 Real Madrid 15 9 4 2 +19 31
5 Sevilla 16 9 2 5 +0 29
6 Villarreal 15 6 3 6 +2 21
7 Getafe 15 5 5 5 +5 20
8 Leganes 15 6 2 7 -2 20
9 Girona 15 5 5 5 -3 20
10 Sociedad 15 5 4 6 +0 19
11 Celta 15 5 3 7 +4 18
12 Betis 15 5 3 7 -6 18
13 Eibar 15 5 3 7 -11 18
14 Ath Bilbao 15 4 5 6 -3 17
15 Levante 16 3 8 5 -7 17
16 Espanol 15 4 4 7 -8 16
17 La Coruna 15 4 3 8 -9 15
18 Alaves 15 4 0 11 -12 12
19 Malaga 15 3 2 10 -15 11
20 Las Palmas 15 3 1 11 -23 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Bilbao Sociedad
Half-time 0–0
Aritz Aduriz 🟨
56′
Iñaki Williams 🔁
↦ De Marcos
67′
Saborit 🔁
↦ Balenziaga
70′
70′
🔁 Canales
↦ Mikel Oyarzabal
Íñigo Lekue 🟨
74′
Iñigo Córdoba 🔁
↦ Raúl García
80′
85′
🔁 C. Vela
↦ A. Januzaj
Mikel Rico 🟨
88′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Ath Bilbao

4-4-1-1
13 Iago Herrerín G
24 Balenziaga D
18 De Marcos D
4 A. Laporte D
15 Lekue D
30 Unai Núñez D
22 Raúl García M
14 Susaeta M
6 San José M
17 Mikel Rico M
20 Aduriz F
Bench (7)
11 Iñaki Williams
3 Saborit
28 Iñigo Córdoba
7 Beñat
16 Etxeita
21 Mikel Vesga
26 Unai Simón

Coach: José Ángel Ziganda

Sociedad

4-3-3
1 G. Rulli G
24 De La Bella D
6 Íñigo Martínez D
3 Diego Llorente D
19 Álvaro Odriozola D
10 Xabi Prieto M
4 Illarramendi M
17 Zurutuza M
8 A. Januzaj M
12 Willian José F
18 Mikel Oyarzabal M
Bench (7)
16 Canales
11 C. Vela
2 Carlos Martínez
5 Igor Zubeldía
7 Juanmi
13 Toño
22 Raúl Navas

Coach: Eusebio Sacristán

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

David Fernandez Borbalan · 58 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.