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La Liga
Referee: Carlos Del Cerro
Sevilla
T U S S S
1–1
Full-time
Celta
S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Celta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
0,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%
19 Shots 2
5 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 1
2 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 9
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sevilla 1. · Celta 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sevilla 2 2 0 0 +3 6
2 Ath Madrid 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Real Madrid 2 1 1 0 +2 4
4 Valladolid 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 Ath Bilbao 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Sociedad 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Osasuna 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Alaves 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Barcelona 2 1 0 1 +2 3
10 Mallorca 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Levante 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Celta 2 1 0 1 -1 3
13 Villarreal 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Granada 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Valencia 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Eibar 2 0 1 1 -1 1
17 Getafe 2 0 1 1 -1 1
18 Espanol 2 0 1 1 -2 1
19 Leganes 2 0 0 2 -2 0
20 Betis 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sevilla Celta
24′
🟨 Kevin Vazquez
Munir El Haddadi 🟨
34′
45′
🟨 Brais Méndez
Half-time 0–0
53′
🔁 Santi Mina
↦ G. Fernández
Diego Carlos 🟨
54′
Bryan Gil 🔁
↦ Munir
55′
65′
🔁 Hugo Mallo
↦ Kevin Vázquez
F. Vázquez 🔁
↦ Joan Jordán
70′
76′
🔁 David Costas
↦ N. Araújo
Fernando 🟨
78′
Rony Lopes 🔁
↦ Nolito
79′
1–0 F. Vázquez
É. Banega
81′
84′
Denis Suárez 1–1
Santi Mina
Bryan Salvatierra 🟨
85′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sevilla

4-3-3
1 Tomáš Vaclík G
16 Jesús Navas D
20 Diego Carlos D
6 Daniel Carriço D
23 Sergio Reguilón D
24 Joan Jordan M
25 Fernando M
10 Éver Banega M
11 Munir El Haddadi F
19 Luuk de Jong F
8 Nolito F
Bench (7)
13 Sergio Rico
18 Sergio Escudero
12 Jules Kounde
21 Óliver Torres
22 Franco Vázquez
7 Rony Lopes
30 Bryan Salvatierra

Coach: Lopetegui

Celta

4-4-2
13 Rubén Blanco G
20 Kevin Vazquez D
18 Joseph Aidoo D
4 Néstor Araujo D
15 Lucas Olaza D
23 Brais Méndez M
14 Stanislav Lobotka M
8 Fran Beltran M
6 Denis Suárez M
10 Iago Aspas F
19 Gabriel Fernández F
Bench (7)
1 Sergio Álvarez
2 Hugo Mallo
3 David Costas
28 Sergio Bermejo Lillo
24 Pape Cheikh
22 Santi Mina
36 Iker Losada

Coach: Fran Escribá

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,55
U ✓
4,31
B
5,97
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,65
U2,5 ✓
2,25
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Carlos Del Cerro · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.