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La Liga
Referee: Eduardo Prieto
Celta
T U T S U
0–2
Full-time
Granada
T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Granada
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,7
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
This season — La Liga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,3
4,0
Scored
1,0
2,3
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

37% Possession 63%
4 Shots 13
0 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 2
2 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celta 12. · Granada 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sevilla 4 3 1 0 +4 10
2 Ath Madrid 4 3 0 1 +1 9
3 Real Madrid 4 2 2 0 +3 8
4 Ath Bilbao 4 2 2 0 +3 8
5 Barcelona 4 2 1 1 +5 7
6 Sociedad 4 2 1 1 +1 7
7 Levante 4 2 0 2 +1 6
8 Villarreal 4 1 2 1 +2 5
9 Osasuna 3 1 2 0 +1 5
10 Alaves 4 1 2 1 +0 5
11 Granada 3 1 1 1 +2 4
12 Celta 3 1 1 1 -1 4
13 Valladolid 3 1 1 1 -1 4
14 Valencia 4 1 1 2 -2 4
15 Mallorca 4 1 1 2 -2 4
16 Espanol 4 1 1 2 -4 4
17 Betis 3 1 0 2 -3 3
18 Getafe 3 0 2 1 -1 2
19 Eibar 4 0 1 3 -3 1
20 Leganes 4 0 0 4 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Celta Granada
Jorge Sáenz 🟥
11′
N. Araújo 🔁
↦ Brais Méndez
15′
19′
🟨 Germán Sánchez
Fran Beltran 🟥
29′
Santi Mina 🟨
39′
44′
🟨 Víctor Díaz
Denis Suárez 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
51′
🔁 Carlos Fernández
↦ Fede Vico
51′
Germán Sánchez 0–1
Montoro
54′
Y. Herrera 0–2
Montoro
Pape Diop 🔁
↦ Santi Mina
59′
Hugo Mallo 🟨
62′
66′
🔁 Vadillo
↦ Soldado
Néstor Araujo 🟨
74′
P. Sisto 🔁
↦ Denis Suárez
77′
88′
🔁 R. Azeez
↦ D. Machís
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Celta

4-4-2
13 Rubén Blanco G
2 Hugo Mallo D
18 Joseph Aidoo D
16 Jorge Sáenz D
15 Lucas Olaza D
23 Brais Méndez M
8 Fran Beltran M
14 Stanislav Lobotka M
6 Denis Suárez M
10 Iago Aspas F
22 Santi Mina F
Bench (7)
1 Sergio Álvarez
4 Néstor Araujo
20 Kevin Vazquez
24 Pape Cheikh
19 Gabriel Fernández
36 Iker Losada
11 Pione Sisto

Coach: Fran Escribá

Granada

4-2-3-1
1 Rui Silva G
16 Víctor Díaz D
22 Domingos Duarte D
6 Germán Sánchez D
17 Quini D
21 Yangel Herrera M
19 Ángel Montoro M
10 Antonio Puertas M
14 Fede Vico M
23 Darwin Machís M
9 Roberto Soldado F
Bench (7)
13 Aarón Escandell
5 José Antonio Martinez Gil
4 Maxime Gonalons
7 Álvaro Vadillo
12 Ramon Azeez
24 Carlos Fernández Luna
20 Adrián Ramos

Coach: Diego Martínez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,84
U
3,64
B ✓
4,40
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,99
U2,5 ✓
1,83
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Eduardo Prieto · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,39 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.