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La Liga
Referee: José Munuera
Valladolid
S T S U T
1–1
Full-time
Osasuna
S T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valladolid Osasuna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,0
This season — La Liga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,3
1,7
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
11 Shots 17
1 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
10 Corners 6
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valladolid 12. · Osasuna 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sevilla 4 3 1 0 +4 10
2 Ath Madrid 4 3 0 1 +1 9
3 Real Madrid 4 2 2 0 +3 8
4 Ath Bilbao 4 2 2 0 +3 8
5 Barcelona 4 2 1 1 +5 7
6 Granada 4 2 1 1 +4 7
7 Sociedad 4 2 1 1 +1 7
8 Levante 4 2 0 2 +1 6
9 Villarreal 4 1 2 1 +2 5
10 Osasuna 3 1 2 0 +1 5
11 Alaves 4 1 2 1 +0 5
12 Valladolid 3 1 1 1 -1 4
13 Valencia 4 1 1 2 -2 4
14 Mallorca 4 1 1 2 -2 4
15 Celta 4 1 1 2 -3 4
16 Espanol 4 1 1 2 -4 4
17 Betis 3 1 0 2 -3 3
18 Getafe 3 0 2 1 -1 2
19 Eibar 4 0 1 3 -3 1
20 Leganes 4 0 0 4 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valladolid Osasuna
Half-time 0–0
Pablo Hervías 🔁
↦ Waldo Rubio
63′
Rubén Alcaraz 🔁
↦ Míchel
63′
1–0 Pablo Hervías
65′
74′
🔁 Robert Ibáñez
↦ Rubén García
74′
🔁 Adrián
↦ Brandon
77′
🟨 Fran Mérida
81′
Robert Ibáñez 1–1
E. Ávila
Sandro Ramírez 🔁
↦ E. Ünal
82′
85′
🔁 Moncayola
↦ Fran Mérida
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Valladolid

4-4-2
1 Jordi Masip G
2 Pedro Porro D
4 Kiko Olivas D
27 Mohammed Salisu D
22 Nacho Martinez D
10 Óscar Plano M
21 Míchel Herrero M
16 Fede San Emeterio M
23 Waldo Rubio Marin M
9 Enes Ünal F
7 Sergi Guardiola F
Bench (7)
13 Andriy Lunin
18 Antoñito
19 Toni Villa
14 Rubén Alcaraz
11 Pablo Hervias
24 Joaquin Fernandez
20 Sandro Ramírez

Coach: Sergio

Osasuna

4-4-2
13 Rubén Martínez G
2 Nacho Vidal D
23 Aridane Hernandez D
5 David García D
30 Pervis Estupinan D
10 Roberto Torres M
6 Oier M
8 Fran Mérida M
14 Rubén García M
11 Brandon F
9 Chimy Ávila F
Bench (7)
1 Sergio Herrera
3 Raúl Navas
12 Facundo Roncaglia
17 Robert Ibáñez
27 Jon Moncayola
18 Juan Villar
22 Adrián López

Coach: Arrasate

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,23
U ✓
3,05
B
3,73
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,53
U2,5 ✓
1,52
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

José Munuera · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.