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La Liga
Referee: Mario Melero
Eibar
T U S S U
0–3
Full-time
Barcelona
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Barcelona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,7
Scored
1,5
2,5
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,3
This season — La Liga · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 44%
25%
63%
Points per game
1,1
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
50%
63%
Both score Ø 57%
63%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,8
Scored
1,3
2,5
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

43% Possession 57%
5 Shots 9
0 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 2
0 Offside 7
16 Free kicks against 14
5 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eibar 14. · Barcelona 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 8 5 3 0 +8 18
2 Granada 9 5 2 2 +6 17
3 Barcelona 8 5 1 2 +10 16
4 Ath Madrid 8 4 3 1 +3 15
5 Sociedad 8 4 1 3 +4 13
6 Sevilla 8 4 1 3 -1 13
7 Ath Bilbao 8 3 3 2 +3 12
8 Valencia 8 3 3 2 +0 12
9 Villarreal 8 3 2 3 +6 11
10 Levante 8 3 2 3 +0 11
11 Osasuna 9 2 5 2 -1 11
12 Getafe 8 2 4 2 +0 10
13 Valladolid 8 2 4 2 -1 10
14 Eibar 8 2 3 3 +0 9
15 Celta 8 2 3 3 -4 9
16 Betis 8 2 3 3 -5 9
17 Alaves 8 2 2 4 -4 8
18 Mallorca 8 2 1 5 -6 7
19 Espanol 8 1 2 5 -10 5
20 Leganes 8 0 2 6 -8 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eibar Barcelona
13′
A. Griezmann 0–1
C. Lenglet
Papakouli Diop 🟨
24′
Charles Días 🟨
24′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 Nélson Semedo
↦ Sergi Roberto
58′
L. Messi 0–2
A. Griezmann
Edu Expósito 🔁
↦ Pedro León
63′
66′
L. Suárez 0–3
L. Messi
T. Inui 🔁
↦ Sergi Enrich
71′
71′
🔁 A. Vidal
↦ Arthur
Kike 🔁
↦ Charles
79′
79′
🔁 I. Rakitić
↦ F. de Jong
Sergio Álvarez 🟨
82′
Takashi Inui 🟨
88′
Edu Expósito 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Eibar

4-4-2
1 Marko Dmitrović G
16 Pablo De Blasis D
12 Paulo Oliveira D
23 Anaitz Arbilla D
15 José Ángel D
21 Pedro León M
6 Sergio Álvarez M
8 Papakouli Diop M
14 Fabián Orellana M
9 Sergi Enrich F
19 Charles Días F
Bench (7)
13 Yoel Rodríguez
3 Pedro Bigas
24 Álvaro Tejero
10 Edu Expósito
22 Takashi Inui
17 Kike
7 Quique

Coach: Mendilibar

Barcelona

4-3-3
1 Marc-André ter Stegen G
20 Sergi Roberto D
23 Samuel Umtiti D
15 Clément Lenglet D
18 Jordi Alba D
21 Frenkie de Jong M
5 Sergio Busquets M
8 Arthur M
10 Lionel Messi F
9 Luis Suárez F
17 Antoine Griezmann F
Bench (7)
13 Neto
2 Nélson Semedo
6 Jean-Clair Todibo
22 Arturo Vidal
27 Carles Pérez
4 Ivan Rakitić
31 Anssumane Fati

Coach: Ernesto Valverde

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,80
U
4,50
B ✓
1,53
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,54
U2,5
2,45
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Mario Melero · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.