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La Liga

Referee: Ricardo De Burgos

Barcelona

T S U S T

2–1

Full-time

Villarreal

U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Villarreal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,2

4,0

Scored

2,3

Conceded

1,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,7

This season — La Liga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 40%

40%

Points per game

1,4

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

60%

80%

Both score Ø 60%

60%

Average goals

4,2

4,0

Scored

2,4

Conceded

1,8

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

57% Possession 43%

8 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 5

4 Offside 3

4 Free kicks against 13

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Barcelona 9. · Villarreal 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Granada	6	3	2	1	+6	11
2	Ath Bilbao	5	3	2	0	+5	11
3	Real Madrid	5	3	2	0	+4	11
4	Sociedad	5	3	1	1	+3	10
5	Sevilla	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Ath Madrid	5	3	1	1	+1	10
7	Villarreal	5	2	2	1	+4	8
8	Betis	6	2	2	2	-1	8
9	Barcelona	5	2	1	2	+3	7
10	Osasuna	5	1	4	0	+1	7
11	Levante	6	2	1	3	-1	7
12	Getafe	5	1	3	1	+1	6
13	Valladolid	6	1	3	2	-3	6
14	Valencia	5	1	2	2	-2	5
15	Alaves	5	1	2	2	-2	5
16	Celta	5	1	2	2	-3	5
17	Mallorca	5	1	1	3	-4	4
18	Espanol	5	1	1	3	-6	4
19	Eibar	5	0	2	3	-3	2
20	Leganes	5	0	1	4	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Bilbao	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Levante	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Betis	4	2	1	1	+2	7
4	Ath Madrid	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+6	6
6	Villarreal	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Getafe	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Valencia	3	1	2	0	+2	5
9	Real Madrid	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Mallorca	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Alaves	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Granada	2	1	0	1	+1	3
14	Osasuna	3	0	3	0	+0	3
15	Celta	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Valladolid	2	0	2	0	+0	2
17	Sevilla	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Leganes	3	0	0	3	-5	0
20	Espanol	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Granada	4	2	2	0	+5	8
3	Real Madrid	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Sociedad	4	2	1	1	+1	7
5	Espanol	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Osasuna	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Valladolid	4	1	1	2	-3	4
8	Villarreal	2	1	0	1	+2	3
9	Ath Madrid	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Ath Bilbao	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Celta	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Eibar	4	0	2	2	-2	2
13	Leganes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Getafe	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Alaves	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Barcelona	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Betis	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Levante	3	0	0	3	-4	0
19	Valencia	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Mallorca	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.