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La Liga
Referee: Javier Alberola
Leganes
U T T S U
2–0
Full-time
Espanol
T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leganes Espanol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,2
This season — La Liga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 12%
12%
12%
Points per game
0,6
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
41%
47%
Both score Ø 50%
53%
47%
Average goals
2,4
2,6
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
1,6
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-1,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
11 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leganes 19. · Espanol 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 18 12 3 3 +26 39
2 Real Madrid 17 10 6 1 +21 36
3 Sevilla 18 10 4 4 +6 34
4 Getafe 18 8 6 4 +9 30
5 Ath Madrid 17 7 8 2 +8 29
6 Sociedad 17 8 4 5 +8 28
7 Valencia 18 7 7 4 +3 28
8 Ath Bilbao 17 7 6 4 +7 27
9 Villarreal 18 7 4 7 +6 25
10 Granada 18 7 3 8 -1 24
11 Osasuna 17 5 8 4 +2 23
12 Levante 17 7 2 8 -4 23
13 Betis 17 6 5 6 -5 23
14 Valladolid 18 4 8 6 -6 20
15 Alaves 18 5 4 9 -9 19
16 Eibar 18 5 4 9 -10 19
17 Mallorca 18 4 3 11 -14 15
18 Celta 17 3 5 9 -11 14
19 Leganes 17 2 4 11 -16 10
20 Espanol 17 2 4 11 -20 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leganes Espanol
1–0 M. Braithwaite
Óscar Rodríguez
11′
25′
🟨 Fernando Calero
45′
🟨 Esteban Granero
Half-time 2–0
2–0 Y. En-Nesyri
Kévin Rodrigues
54′
62′
🔁 F. Ferreyra
↦ Granero
Chidozie Awaziem 🟨
68′
74′
🟨 Marc Roca
76′
🟨 Didac Vila
78′
🔁 Wu Lei
↦ Víctor Campuzano
Christian Rivera 🔁
↦ Óscar Rodríguez
83′
84′
🔁 Adrià Pedrosa
↦ Marc Roca
José Arnáiz 🔁
↦ Roque Mesa
86′
90′
🟨 David López
90′
🟨 Facundo Ferreyra
G. Carrillo 🔁
↦ Y. En-Nesyri
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Leganes

5-3-2
1 Iván Cuéllar G
16 Roberto Rosales D
12 Chidozie Awaziem D
4 Kenneth Omeruo D
5 Jonathan Silva D
24 Kevin Rodrigues D
27 Óscar Rodríguez M
6 Roque Mesa M
21 Rubén Pérez M
7 Martin Braithwaite F
26 Youssef En-Nesyri F
Bench (7)
13 Juan Soriano
15 Rodrigo Tarín
17 Javier Eraso
14 Cristian Rivera
10 José Manuel Arnáiz
19 Aitor Ruibal
18 Guido Carrillo

Coach: J. Aguirre

Espanol

3-1-4-2
13 Diego López G
15 David López D
20 Bernardo Espinosa D
24 Fernando Calero D
21 Marc Roca M
34 Victor Gómez M
23 Esteban Granero M
10 Sergi Darder M
17 Didac Vila M
31 Víctor Campuzano F
12 Jonathan Calleri F
Bench (7)
1 Andrés Prieto
5 Naldo
16 Javi López
3 Adrià Pedrosa
26 Pol Lozano
9 Facundo Ferreyra
7 Wu Lei

Coach: Pablo Machín

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,12
U
3,09
B
3,93
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,74
U2,5 ✓
1,44
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Javier Alberola · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.