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La Liga

Referee: Antonio Mateu

Ath Madrid

S U U S U

0–1

Full-time

Barcelona

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Barcelona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,7

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

17%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

2,3

4,2

Scored

1,5

3,2

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+2,2

This season — La Liga · 14/13 matches

Win Ø 56%

43%

69%

Points per game

1,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

14%

77%

Both score Ø 53%

43%

62%

Average goals

1,8

3,9

Scored

1,1

2,7

Conceded

0,6

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

34% Possession 66%

17 Shots 13

2 Shots on target 5

8 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

9 Corners 5

2 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Madrid 6. · Barcelona 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	14	9	4	1	+19	31
2	Sevilla	15	9	3	3	+5	30
3	Barcelona	13	9	1	3	+19	28
4	Sociedad	15	8	2	5	+8	26
5	Ath Bilbao	15	7	5	3	+8	26
6	Ath Madrid	14	6	7	1	+7	25
7	Getafe	15	6	6	3	+7	24
8	Valencia	15	6	5	4	+1	23
9	Osasuna	15	5	7	3	+4	22
10	Granada	15	6	3	6	+0	21
11	Levante	15	6	2	7	-3	20
12	Betis	15	5	4	6	-6	19
13	Villarreal	15	5	3	7	+4	18
14	Alaves	15	5	3	7	-3	18
15	Valladolid	15	4	6	5	-4	18
16	Eibar	15	4	3	8	-12	15
17	Mallorca	15	4	2	9	-9	14
18	Celta	15	3	4	8	-10	13
19	Espanol	15	2	3	10	-18	9
20	Leganes	15	1	3	11	-17	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Bilbao	8	6	1	1	+10	19
2	Barcelona	6	6	0	0	+18	18
3	Real Madrid	7	5	2	0	+12	17
4	Valencia	8	4	4	0	+6	16
5	Getafe	8	4	3	1	+8	15
6	Ath Madrid	7	4	3	0	+6	15
7	Alaves	8	4	2	2	+6	14
8	Levante	7	4	2	1	+5	14
9	Sevilla	7	4	2	1	+4	14
10	Betis	8	4	2	2	+3	14
11	Mallorca	9	4	2	3	+2	14
12	Sociedad	7	4	1	2	+8	13
13	Granada	7	4	1	2	+3	13
14	Villarreal	7	3	3	1	+7	12
15	Osasuna	7	3	3	1	+4	12
16	Valladolid	6	2	3	1	+4	9
17	Eibar	7	3	0	4	-6	9
18	Celta	8	2	2	4	-4	8
19	Leganes	8	1	1	6	-7	4
20	Espanol	8	0	1	7	-13	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	8	5	1	2	+1	16
2	Real Madrid	7	4	2	1	+7	14
3	Sociedad	8	4	1	3	+0	13
4	Barcelona	7	3	1	3	+1	10
5	Ath Madrid	7	2	4	1	+1	10
6	Osasuna	8	2	4	2	+0	10
7	Getafe	7	2	3	2	-1	9
8	Valladolid	9	2	3	4	-8	9
9	Granada	8	2	2	4	-3	8
10	Espanol	7	2	2	3	-5	8
11	Ath Bilbao	7	1	4	2	-2	7
12	Valencia	7	2	1	4	-5	7
13	Villarreal	8	2	0	6	-3	6
14	Eibar	8	1	3	4	-6	6
15	Levante	8	2	0	6	-8	6
16	Celta	7	1	2	4	-6	5
17	Betis	7	1	2	4	-9	5
18	Alaves	7	1	1	5	-9	4
19	Leganes	7	0	2	5	-10	2
20	Mallorca	6	0	0	6	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.