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La Liga
Referee: José Sánchez
Betis
T U S T U
2–3
Full-time
Barcelona
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Betis Barcelona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
This season — La Liga · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 48%
32%
64%
Points per game
1,3
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
64%
68%
Both score Ø 68%
77%
59%
Average goals
2,9
3,5
Scored
1,4
2,4
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

29% Possession 71%
7 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
0 Corners 8
3 Offside 4
21 Free kicks against 17
5 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Betis 13. · Barcelona 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 23 15 7 1 +30 52
2 Barcelona 22 14 4 4 +26 46
3 Getafe 23 12 6 5 +15 42
4 Ath Madrid 23 10 9 4 +8 39
5 Sevilla 23 11 6 6 +6 39
6 Sociedad 23 11 4 8 +8 37
7 Valencia 23 10 7 6 +1 37
8 Villarreal 23 10 5 8 +9 35
9 Ath Bilbao 23 7 10 6 +4 31
10 Granada 23 9 3 11 -3 30
11 Levante 23 9 2 12 -5 29
12 Osasuna 23 6 10 7 -2 28
13 Betis 22 7 7 8 -4 28
14 Alaves 23 7 6 10 -8 27
15 Valladolid 23 5 11 7 -6 26
16 Eibar 23 6 6 11 -10 24
17 Celta 23 4 8 11 -13 20
18 Mallorca 23 5 3 15 -17 18
19 Leganes 23 4 6 13 -18 18
20 Espanol 23 4 6 13 -21 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Betis Barcelona
5′
🟨 Clément Lenglet
1–0 Canales
6′
9′
F. de Jong 1–1
L. Messi
2–1 N. Fekir
26′
29′
🟨 Sergi Roberto
32′
🟨 Arturo Vidal
Emerson 🟨
36′
Aïssa Mandi 🟨
45′
Half-time 2–2
48′
Busquets 2–2
L. Messi
57′
🟨 Sergio Busquets
57′
🔁 Jordi Alba
↦ Junior Firpo
57′
🔁 Arthur
↦ A. Vidal
Loren Morón 🔁
↦ Borja Iglesias
62′
Joaquín 🔁
↦ William Carvalho
70′
Guido Rodríguez 🟨
72′
72′
C. Lenglet 2–3
L. Messi
Nabil Fekir 🟨
76′
Nabil Fekir 🟨
76′
Nabil Fekir 🟥
76′
79′
🟨 Clément Lenglet
79′
🟥 Clément Lenglet
Tello 🔁
↦ G. Rodríguez
86′
89′
🔁 I. Rakitić
↦ A. Griezmann
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Betis

4-1-4-1
1 Joel Robles G
22 Emerson D
23 Aïssa Mandi D
5 Marc Bartra D
15 Álex Moreno D
21 Guido Rodríguez M
24 Carles Aleñá M
10 Sergio Canales M
14 William Carvalho M
8 Nabil Fekir M
9 Borja Iglesias F
Bench (7)
13 Dani Martín
32 Edgar Gonzalez
12 Sidnei
19 Antonio Barragán
17 Joaquín
11 Cristian Tello
16 Loren Moron

Coach: Rubí

Barcelona

4-3-1-2
1 Marc-André ter Stegen G
2 Nélson Semedo D
23 Samuel Umtiti D
15 Clément Lenglet D
24 Junior Firpo D
20 Sergi Roberto M
5 Sergio Busquets M
21 Frenkie de Jong M
22 Arturo Vidal M
17 Antoine Griezmann F
10 Lionel Messi F
Bench (7)
26 Iñaki Peña
18 Jordi Alba
33 Ronald Araujo
28 Riqui Puig
8 Arthur
4 Ivan Rakitić
31 Ansu Fati

Coach: Quique Setién

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,00
U
3,85
B ✓
1,85
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,53
U2,5
2,46
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

José Sánchez · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.